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Aquila Calcio vs Termoli

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Velotti M.
76' Event
Magnani F.

AI Match Summary

Aquila Calcio in this Serie D - Group F matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aquila Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Aquila Calcio
35%
Draws
20%
Termoli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aquila Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Termoli haven't matched Aquila Calcio's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Aquila Calcio a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aquila Calcio have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Aquila Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Termoli Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aquila Calcio Termoli
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 10
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.39 0.54
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Termoli
1:0
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Aquila Calcio
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Termoli
1:0
Jan 12, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Termoli
2:0
Nov 6, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie D
Aquila Calcio vs Termoli
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aquila Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Magnani F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Termoli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aquila Calcio 67 / 100
Termoli 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aquila Calcio Termoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aquila Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aquila Calcio has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Aquila Calcio scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Termoli has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Aquila Calcio VS Termoli
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aquila Calcio

(Home)
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2
Aquila Calcio
16 Sept
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0
Atletico Ascoli
12 Sept
Fossombrone
0 : 4
Aquila Calcio
06 Sept
Aquila Calcio
1 : 0
Termoli
01 Aug
Pineto
0 : 1
Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Termoli

(Away)
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Giulianova
0 : 0
Termoli
13 Sept
Termoli
1 : 0
Angelana
06 Sept
Aquila Calcio
1 : 0
Termoli
03 May
Termoli
1 : 1
Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vigor Senigallia 4 4 0 0 10:4 12
2 Teramo 4 3 1 0 11:5 10
3 Foligno 4 3 0 1 5:5 9
4 Aquila Calcio 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
5 Ancona 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
6 Santegidiese 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
7 Atletico Ascoli 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
8 Montecchio Gallo 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
9 Recanatese 4 1 3 0 5:2 6
10 Fossombrone 4 2 0 2 5:9 6
11 Notaresco Calcio 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
12 Lanciano FC 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
13 Termoli 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
14 Maceratese 4 1 0 3 3:6 3
15 Angelana 4 1 0 3 3:6 3
16 Pietralunga 5 0 2 3 2:6 2
17 Giulianova 4 0 1 3 3:6 1
18 Sporting Trestina 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)