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Ara vs Dempo

India India

I-League 2 2022/2023
2 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Fernandes N.
45' Event
Shrestha N.
79' Event
Singh M.

AI Match Summary

The I-League 2 2022/2023 game between Ara and Dempo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ara
35%
Draws
39%
Dempo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dempo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Ara haven't matched Dempo's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular I-League 2 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ara Clean Sheet 14%
Dempo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ara Dempo
Matches Played 12 36
Wins 6 11
Draws 3 13
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 1.58 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2023 I-League 2
Ara vs Dempo
2:1
Mar 29, 2023 I-League 2
Dempo vs Ara
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ara Compare

Top Goalscorer Shrestha N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Singh M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Dempo Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandes N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ara 30 / 100
Dempo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ara Dempo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ara found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (12 games).

Dempo let in goals in 72% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Ara went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ara VS Dempo
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ara

(Home)
03 May
Ara
1 : 1
Mawlai SC
01 May
Sunrise Club
2 : 3
Ara
29 Apr
Sikkim Brotherhood
3 : 2
Ara
27 Apr
Raengdai
3 : 0
Ara
27 Apr
Ara
1 : 2
Ambernath United
Page 1 of 3

Dempo

(Away)
22 May
Dempo
1 : 1
Sreenidi Deccan
17 May
Dempo
1 : 1
Diamond Harbour
09 May
Chanmari
2 : 0
Dempo
01 May
Rajasthan United
0 : 1
Dempo
26 Apr
Lajong
0 : 0
Dempo
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Delhi FC 8 5 1 2 20:5 16
2 Downtown Heroes 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Jagat Singh Palahi 8 4 1 3 10:9 13
4 Techtro Swades 8 4 0 4 9:8 12
5 Mumbai City 2 8 0 2 6 4:23 2
Promotion - I-League 2 2022/2023 (Final Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United SC 6 4 2 0 9:4 14
2 Lajong 6 4 1 1 13:3 13
3 East Bengal 2 6 2 1 3 8:8 7
4 Diamond Rock 6 0 0 6 3:18 0
Promotion - I-League 2 2022/2023 (Final Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bengaluru United 8 5 2 1 21:5 17
2 Golden Threads 8 3 3 2 13:11 12
3 Bengaluru FC 2 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
4 Chennaiyin FC 2 8 3 0 5 7:17 9
5 RKM 8 2 1 5 8:15 7
Promotion - I-League 2 2022/2023 (Final Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ambernath United 8 5 2 1 17:9 17
2 Ara 8 5 2 1 13:5 17
3 Dempo 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
4 Hyderabad 2 8 1 1 6 4:10 4
5 FC Goa 2 8 1 1 6 4:17 4
Promotion - I-League 2 2022/2023 (Final Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams