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Ara vs Mawlai SC

India India

I-League 3
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Moinuddin
57'
Chawla R.
57'
Chawla R.

AI Match Summary

The I-League 3 game between Ara and Mawlai SC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ara
33%
Draws
41%
Mawlai SC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mawlai SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Mawlai SC haven't matched Ara's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ara a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular I-League 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Ara Clean Sheet 20%
Mawlai SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ara Mawlai SC
Matches Played 12 4
Wins 6 1
Draws 3 2
Losses 3 1
Goals Scored 1.58 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 I-League 3
Ara vs Mawlai SC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ara Compare

Top Goalscorer Moinuddin
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Mawlai SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Chyne D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ara 36 / 100
Mawlai SC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ara Mawlai SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ara scored in 83% of their last 12 games.

Mawlai SC let in goals in 100% of their last 4 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Ara remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ara VS Mawlai SC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ara

(Home)
03 May
Ara
1 : 1
Mawlai SC
01 May
Sunrise Club
2 : 3
Ara
29 Apr
Sikkim Brotherhood
3 : 2
Ara
27 Apr
Raengdai
3 : 0
Ara
27 Apr
Ara
1 : 2
Ambernath United
Page 1 of 3

Mawlai SC

(Away)
05 May
Mawlai SC
1 : 1
Raengdai
03 May
Ara
1 : 1
Mawlai SC
29 Apr
Sunrise Club
3 : 1
Mawlai SC
27 Apr
Mawlai SC
3 : 1
Sikkim Brotherhood

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sunrise Club 4 3 0 1 10:5 9
2 Raengdai 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
3 Mawlai SC 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
4 Ara 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
5 Sikkim Brotherhood 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
Promotion - I-League 3 (Promotion Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TRAU FC 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 Samaleswari SC 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
3 Zinc FA 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
4 CD Salgaocar 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
5 Mumbay FC 4 0 2 2 5:9 2
Promotion - I-League 3 (Promotion Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KLASA 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Chhaygaon 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
3 Diamond Rock 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Citadel Godavari Legends 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
5 Kuppuraj 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - I-League 3 (Promotion Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baghpat 4 3 1 0 15:3 10
2 Agniputhra 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
3 New Friends 4 2 0 2 5:12 6
4 Royal Rangers 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
5 Techtro Swades 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - I-League 3 (Promotion Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams