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Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs Al Ahly - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Arab Contractors Stadium, Cairo
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Dodo D.
39' Event
Gaber I.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Dodo D. In: Adel I.
Out: Dodo D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
20%
Draws
45%
Al Ahly
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ahly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) haven't matched Al Ahly's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) Clean Sheet 14%
Al Ahly Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) Al Ahly
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 14 7
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.1 1.62
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Premier League
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs Al Ahly
1:1
Mar 5, 2026 Premier League
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs Al Ahly
1:3
Dec 30, 2025 League Cup
Al Ahly vs Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
0:3
Aug 4, 2024 Premier League
Al Ahly vs Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
4:0
Nov 4, 2023 Premier League
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs Al Ahly
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 31 / 100
Al Ahly 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) Al Ahly

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Al Ahly's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) VS Al Ahly
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)

(Home)
08 Oct
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 0
El Gouna
15 Sept
Wadi Degla
0 : 2
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
09 Sept
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1 : 1
Al Ahly
02 Sept
El Gouna
0 : 1
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
27 Aug
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 3
Al Masry
Page 1 of 6

Al Ahly

(Away)
11 Oct
Zamalek
0 : 2
Al Ahly
07 Oct
Asyut Petroleum
0 : 5
Al Ahly
15 Sept
Al Ahly
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
09 Sept
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1 : 1
Al Ahly
03 Sept
Al Ahly
1 : 0
Smouha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyramids 5 5 0 0 9:1 15
2 Zamalek 5 4 1 0 8:1 13
3 Al Ahly 5 4 1 0 9:3 13
4 Ceramica Cleopatra 5 4 0 1 10:3 12
5 Modern Sport 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Al Ittihad Alexandria 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
7 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Petrojet 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
9 El Gaish 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
10 ZED FC 5 2 1 2 4:5 7
11 Al Qanah 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
12 Al Masry 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
13 National Bank Egypt 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
14 Wadi Degla 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Enppi 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
16 Smouha 5 1 1 3 1:4 4
17 Abu Qir Semad 5 1 0 4 1:8 3
18 El Gouna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Asyut Petroleum 5 0 2 3 1:5 2
20 Ghazl El Mahallah 5 0 1 4 1:9 1
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation Group)