Sport Picks
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs El Gouna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Egypt
League Cup 
Match Events
14'
14'
Masoud A.
19'
19'
Sub
Reda M. In: Emad I.
Out: Reda M.
25'
25'
Kamal A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
20%
7%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) lately — more wins on the board than El Gouna.
- Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon), who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) Clean Sheet 68%
El Gouna Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) | El Gouna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 14 | 13 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 8, 2026 League Cup
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs El Gouna
2:0
Sep 2, 2026 Premier League
El Gouna vs Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
0:1
May 8, 2026 Premier League
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs El Gouna
1:0
Feb 23, 2026 Premier League
El Gouna vs Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1:1
Aug 18, 2024 Premier League
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs El Gouna
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) Compare
Top Goalscorer Hussein S.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
El Gouna Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 95 / 100
El Gouna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) El Gouna
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)'s goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
El Gouna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Away concern: El Gouna has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) VS El Gouna
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
(Home) 08 Oct
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 0 El Gouna
15 Sept
Wadi Degla
0 : 2 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
09 Sept
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1 : 1 Al Ahly
02 Sept
El Gouna
0 : 1 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
27 Aug
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 3 Al Masry
Page 1 of 6
08 Oct
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 0 El Gouna
09 Sept
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1 : 1 Al Ahly
27 Aug
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 3 Al Masry
29 May
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
3 : 1 Modern Sport
18 May
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1 : 1 Wadi Degla
Page 1 of 4
El Gouna
(Away) 08 Oct
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 0 El Gouna
16 Sept
El Gouna
1 : 2 Petrojet
09 Sept
Pyramids
1 : 0 El Gouna
02 Sept
El Gouna
0 : 1 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
28 Aug
Al Qanah
1 : 1 El Gouna
Page 1 of 7
08 Oct
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 0 El Gouna
09 Sept
Pyramids
1 : 0 El Gouna
28 Aug
Al Qanah
1 : 1 El Gouna
28 May
Petrojet
1 : 2 El Gouna
17 May
National Bank Egypt
1 : 1 El Gouna
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ZED FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Wadi Degla | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 3 | El Gaish | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad Alexandria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 5 | Zamalek | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Modern Sport | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Pyramids | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Smouha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Al Qanah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 5 | National Bank Egypt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahly | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Enppi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | El Gouna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 5 | Asyut Petroleum | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Masry | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 3 | Abu Qir Semad | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 4 | Petrojet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
