Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs Ghazl El Mahallah

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Arab Contractors Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Bolbol M.
26'
Salim M.
30'
Ojera J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
33%
Draws
27%
Ghazl El Mahallah
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) lately — more wins on the board than Ghazl El Mahallah.
  • Win probability leans Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)'s way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) Clean Sheet 68%
Ghazl El Mahallah Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) Ghazl El Mahallah
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 15 14
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 Premier League
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs Ghazl El Mahallah
1:1
Jan 5, 2026 League Cup
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs Ghazl El Mahallah
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League
Ghazl El Mahallah vs Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1:1
Feb 10, 2023 Premier League
Ghazl El Mahallah vs Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
0:3
Oct 20, 2022 Premier League
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs Ghazl El Mahallah
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) Compare

Top Goalscorer Ojera J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ghazl El Mahallah Compare

Top Goalscorer Salah M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 50 / 100
Ghazl El Mahallah 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) Ghazl El Mahallah

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Ghazl El Mahallah has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) VS Ghazl El Mahallah
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
8Wadi Degla1366119:953
9ZED FC1355318:1549
10National Bank Egypt1364320:1648
11El Gouna1346310:946
12Petrojet1355318:1545
13Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)1348115:1038
14Ghazl El Mahallah1347215:1138
15Modern Sport132838:1037
16El Gaish134367:1037
17Al Ittihad Alexandria1337314:1436
18Kahrabaa Ismailia1337313:1632
19Haras El Hodood1316611:1926
20Pharco FC132477:1325
21El Ismaily131664:1220