Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs Modern Sport

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Arab Contractors Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) play Modern Sport in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) averaged 1.07 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Modern Sport averaged 0.57 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) won 2, Modern Sport won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 29, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) and 0.63 for Modern Sport. This points to a Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
35%
Draws
26%
Modern Sport
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) picked up more points recently compared to Modern Sport.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 0.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 17%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) Clean Sheet 29%
Modern Sport Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 54%
Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) Modern Sport
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 15 15
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.07 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Premier League
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs Modern Sport
3:1
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League
Modern Sport vs Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
1:2
Jul 11, 2024 Premier League
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs Modern Sport
1:2
Feb 19, 2024 Premier League
Modern Sport vs Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2:2
Feb 22, 2023 Premier League
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) vs Modern Sport
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdelnasser M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sobhi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Modern Sport Compare

Top Goalscorer Galal Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 41 / 100
Modern Sport 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) Modern Sport

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +26.1%
4.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) attacking → ← attacking Modern Sport

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Modern Sport let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Modern Sport lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 30
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
8Wadi Degla1366119:953
9ZED FC1355318:1549
10National Bank Egypt1364320:1648
11El Gouna1346310:946
12Petrojet1355318:1545
13Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)1348115:1038
14Ghazl El Mahallah1347215:1138
15Modern Sport132838:1037
16El Gaish134367:1037
17Al Ittihad Alexandria1337314:1436
18Kahrabaa Ismailia1337313:1632
19Haras El Hodood1316611:1926
20Pharco FC132477:1325
21El Ismaily131664:1220