Sport Picks

Panama

LPF Estadio Armando Dely Valdes

Alianza

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arabe Unido play Alianza in the LPF. It looks like a close match. Recently, Arabe Unido averaged 1.1 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Alianza averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. In past meetings, Arabe Unido won 1, Alianza won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Arabe Unido and 1.31 for Alianza. This points to a Alianza double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Arabe Unido

35%

Draws

34%

Alianza

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alianza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Arabe Unido picked up more points recently compared to Alianza.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%

Arabe Unido Clean Sheet 18%

Alianza Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Arabe Unido	Alianza
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	12	14
Draws	9	12
Losses	9	5
Goals Scored	1.1	1.71
Goals Conceded	0.93	1.39
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 LPF

Alianza vs Arabe Unido

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 2 - 3

2:2

Jan 25, 2026 LPF

Arabe Unido vs Alianza

Possession: 46% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

2:2

Nov 2, 2025 LPF

Alianza vs Arabe Unido

Possession: 42% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

Aug 3, 2025 LPF

Arabe Unido vs Alianza

Possession: 49% - 52% Cards: 1 - 0

1:1

May 11, 2025 LPF

Alianza vs Arabe Unido

Possession: 55% - 53% Cards: 2 - 2

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arabe Unido Compare

Top Goalscorer Chara G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Canales A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Alianza Compare

Top Goalscorer Mathews R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Perdomo R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arabe Unido 32 / 100

Alianza 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Arabe Unido Alianza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Alianza or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Arabe Unido attacking → ← attacking Alianza

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arabe Unido scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Alianza let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Arabe Unido went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Alianza lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 54

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Plaza Amador	16	9	4	3	28:16	31
2	Alianza	16	6	9	1	26:20	27
3	UMECIT	16	6	7	3	28:20	25
4	Tauro	16	5	6	5	22:19	21
5	Arabe Unido	16	6	3	7	16:20	21
6	Sporting San Miguelito	16	4	6	6	19:21	18

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Veraguas	16	7	4	5	26:23	25
2	Union Cocle	16	5	8	3	16:11	23
3	Independiente	16	4	8	4	18:14	20
4	San Francisco	16	5	5	6	22:25	20
5	Union Deportivo Universitario	16	3	5	8	19:27	14
6	Herrera	16	1	5	10	13:37	8