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Aragua vs Deportivo Miranda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2 Estadio Olimpico Hermanos Ghersi Paez, Maracay
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Pinto J.
82' Event
Chaverra Palacios J.
84' Event
Fernandez L.

AI Match Summary

Aragua in this Liga FUTVE 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aragua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Aragua
20%
Draws
19%
Deportivo Miranda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aragua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aragua lately — more wins on the board than Deportivo Miranda.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Aragua taking it.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Aragua Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Miranda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aragua Deportivo Miranda
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.32 1.26
Goals Conceded 0.82 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Aragua vs Deportivo Miranda
2:1
Jul 26, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Deportivo Miranda vs Aragua
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Aragua vs Deportivo Miranda
1:0
Mar 1, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Deportivo Miranda vs Aragua
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Liga FUTVE 2
Deportivo Miranda vs Aragua
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aragua Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinto J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chaverra Palacios J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Deportivo Miranda Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aragua 68 / 100
Deportivo Miranda 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aragua Deportivo Miranda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aragua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aragua went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Aragua scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Deportivo Miranda registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aragua VS Deportivo Miranda
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aragua

(Home)
07 Oct
Barquisimeto
1 : 4
Aragua
27 Sept
Aragua
1 : 0
Avila
20 Sept
Bolivar
1 : 1
Aragua
13 Sept
Aragua
2 : 1
Deportivo Miranda
09 Sept
Yaracuyanos
2 : 5
Aragua
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Deportivo Miranda

(Away)
07 Oct
Deportivo Miranda
0 : 0
Avila
04 Oct
Mineros
3 : 2
Deportivo Miranda
20 Sept
Deportivo Miranda
4 : 0
Avila
13 Sept
Aragua
2 : 1
Deportivo Miranda
09 Sept
Academia Anzoategui
2 : 1
Deportivo Miranda
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lara 29 19 6 4 51:22 63
2 Barquisimeto 30 15 8 7 54:35 53
3 Yaracuyanos 30 14 7 9 44:30 49
4 Urena 29 12 10 7 41:34 46
5 Zamora 2 29 11 7 11 46:44 40
6 Atletico El Vigia 30 11 7 12 40:50 40
7 Academia Puerto Cabello B 30 9 7 14 38:44 34
8 Atletico Barinas 30 9 5 16 50:61 32
9 Real Frontera 29 3 3 23 22:66 12
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas B 25 14 6 5 41:26 48
2 Deportivo Miranda 24 12 5 7 32:21 41
3 Bolivar 25 12 4 9 31:29 40
4 Aragua 24 10 9 5 26:17 39
5 Dynamo Puerto FC 24 8 8 8 27:26 32
6 Mineros 25 5 9 11 29:33 24
7 Maritimo de Venezuela 20 5 5 10 16:31 20
8 Avila 25 2 10 13 13:32 16
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)