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Aragua vs Monagas B Prediction & H2H Stats

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2 Estadio Olimpico Hermanos Ghersi Paez, Maracay
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Renteria M.
68' Event
Jimenez M.
78' Event
Carrion E.

AI Match Summary

Monagas B in this Liga FUTVE 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monagas B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Aragua
35%
Draws
32%
Monagas B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Monagas B lately — more wins on the board than Aragua.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Aragua taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Aragua Clean Sheet 15%
Monagas B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aragua Monagas B
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.69
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Monagas B vs Aragua
2:2
Jun 6, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Aragua vs Monagas B
1:2
Apr 12, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Monagas B vs Aragua
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Liga FUTVE 2
Monagas B vs Aragua
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 Liga FUTVE 2
Aragua vs Monagas B
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aragua Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Monagas B Compare

Top Goalscorer Renteria M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carrion E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aragua 41 / 100
Monagas B 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aragua Monagas B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Aragua remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Aragua scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Monagas B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Aragua VS Monagas B
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aragua

(Home)
27 Sept
Aragua
1 : 0
Avila
20 Sept
Bolivar
1 : 1
Aragua
13 Sept
Aragua
2 : 1
Deportivo Miranda
09 Sept
Yaracuyanos
2 : 5
Aragua
05 Sept
Monagas B
2 : 2
Aragua
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Monagas B

(Away)
27 Sept
Monagas B
2 : 1
Mineros
13 Sept
Monagas B
2 : 1
Dynamo Puerto FC
05 Sept
Monagas B
2 : 2
Aragua
30 Aug
Deportivo Miranda
1 : 1
Monagas B
23 Aug
Avila
0 : 3
Monagas B
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lara 28 19 6 3 50:20 63
2 Barquisimeto 28 15 8 5 50:28 53
3 Urena 28 12 9 7 41:34 45
4 Yaracuyanos 28 12 7 9 37:27 43
5 Zamora 2 28 11 7 10 45:40 40
6 Atletico El Vigia 29 10 7 12 36:48 37
7 Academia Puerto Cabello B 29 8 7 14 36:43 31
8 Atletico Barinas 29 9 4 16 50:61 31
9 Real Frontera 29 3 3 23 22:66 12
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas B 23 13 6 4 39:24 45
2 Deportivo Miranda 23 12 5 6 30:18 41
3 Aragua 24 10 9 5 26:17 39
4 Bolivar 24 11 4 9 29:28 37
5 Dynamo Puerto FC 23 7 8 8 25:25 29
6 Mineros 24 4 9 11 26:31 21
7 Maritimo de Venezuela 20 5 5 10 16:31 20
8 Avila 23 2 10 11 12:29 16
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)