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Araguacema U20 vs Paraiso EC U20

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Tocantinense U20 2024
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Araguacema U20 host Paraiso EC U20 in the Tocantinense U20 2024. Araguacema U20 go into this one as the clear favorite. Araguacema U20 have averaged 0.63 scored and 3 conceded recently, against Paraiso EC U20's 1.5 scored and 2 conceded. Head-to-head, Araguacema U20 have won 1 to Paraiso EC U20's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 5, 2024, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.31 - 2.25) back Araguacema U20 to edge this. Araguacema U20 in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Araguacema U20
6%
Draws
4%
Paraiso EC U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Araguacema U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Araguacema U20 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Paraiso EC U20.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Araguacema U20.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tocantinense U20 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Araguacema U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Paraiso EC U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguacema U20 Paraiso EC U20
Matches Played 28 9
Wins 11 2
Draws 5 0
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 3 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Tocantinense U20
Araguacema U20 vs Paraiso EC U20
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguacema U20 83 / 100
Paraiso EC U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguacema U20 Paraiso EC U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araguacema U20 scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Paraiso EC U20 let in goals in 100% of their last 9 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Araguacema U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Paraiso EC U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araguacema U20 VS Paraiso EC U20
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Capital FC U20541028:213
2Batalhao U20541021:313
3Interporto U20530223:79
4Gurupi U20520321:96
5Sao Jose U2050143:291
6Alvorada U2050142:481
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araguacema U20541012:513
2Guarai SC U2053209:311
3Uniao EC U20530211:69
4Tocantins U2052126:77
5Paraiso EC U2051048:103
6Central Tocantinense U2050052:170
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uniao Carmolandense U20523011:59
2Tocantinopolis U2052306:49
3SD Sparta U2052219:48
4Araguaina U2052039:76
5Bela Vista U2051224:55
6Arsenal EC U2050231:152