Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Araguacema U20 vs SD Sparta U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense U20 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SD Sparta U20 in this Tocantinense U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored SD Sparta U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Araguacema U20
20%
Draws
29%
SD Sparta U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Araguacema U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Araguacema U20 lately — more wins on the board than SD Sparta U20.
  • Model gives Araguacema U20 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Araguacema U20 Clean Sheet 10%
SD Sparta U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguacema U20 SD Sparta U20
Matches Played 28 22
Wins 11 6
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.54 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.68 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 2.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Tocantinense U20
Araguacema U20 vs SD Sparta U20
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguacema U20 74 / 100
SD Sparta U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguacema U20 SD Sparta U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araguacema U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SD Sparta U20 conceded in 82% of 22 recent games.

Araguacema U20 scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Araguacema U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Araguacema U20 VS SD Sparta U20
0.63 Goals Scored 1.83
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.33
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguacema U20

(Home)
20 Jun
Batalhao U20
2 : 2
Araguacema U20
13 Jun
Araguacema U20
0 : 2
Batalhao U20
06 Jun
Central Tocantinense U20
0 : 3
Araguacema U20
04 Jun
Araguacema U20
4 : 0
Bela Vista U20
30 May
Araguacema U20
0 : 1
Uniao Carmolandense U20
Page 1 of 6

SD Sparta U20

(Away)
01 Jun
Uniao Carmolandense U20
5 : 0
SD Sparta U20
25 May
SD Sparta U20
1 : 3
Uniao Carmolandense U20
17 May
SD Sparta U20
1 : 3
Araguaina U20
03 May
Guarai SC U20
2 : 2
SD Sparta U20
01 May
SD Sparta U20
4 : 1
Tocantins U20
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmas U20 4 3 0 1 14:4 9
2 Araguaia (TO) U20 4 3 0 1 14:6 9
3 Gurupi U20 4 2 0 2 8:9 6
4 Uniao de Palmas U20 4 2 0 2 6:9 6
5 Alvorada U20 4 0 0 4 2:16 0
Promotion - Tocantinense U20 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Batalhao U20 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
2 Capital FC U20 4 2 1 1 17:7 7
3 Interporto U20 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
4 Taquarussu U20 4 2 0 2 10:9 6
5 Central Tocantinense U20 4 0 0 4 2:22 0
Promotion - Tocantinense U20 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araguaina U20 4 4 0 0 10:2 12
2 SD Sparta U20 4 2 1 1 10:6 7
3 Guarai SC U20 4 1 1 2 7:6 4
4 Tocantins U20 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
5 Araguacema U20 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - Tocantinense U20 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis U20 4 3 0 1 8:2 9
2 Uniao Carmolandense U20 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
3 Bela Vista U20 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
4 Paraiso EC U20 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
5 Arsenal EC U20 4 0 1 3 2:12 1
Promotion - Tocantinense U20 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)