Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Araguacema vs Batalhao

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Araguacema advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Araguacema
20%
Draws
40%
Batalhao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Batalhao haven't matched Araguacema's recent run of results.
  • Araguacema are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Araguacema have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Araguacema, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Araguacema Clean Sheet 12%
Batalhao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguacema Batalhao
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.47 2
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2024 Tocantinense 2
Batalhao vs Araguacema
4:1
Nov 16, 2024 Tocantinense 2
Araguacema vs Batalhao
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguacema 40 / 100
Batalhao 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguacema Batalhao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Araguacema scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Batalhao let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Araguacema stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araguacema VS Batalhao
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguacema

(Home)
23 Nov
Batalhao
4 : 1
Araguacema
16 Nov
Araguacema
3 : 1
Batalhao
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
02 Nov
Arsenal (TO)
0 : 2
Araguacema
26 Oct
Araguacema
0 : 3
Bela Vista-TO
Page 1 of 6

Batalhao

(Away)
20 Sept
Batalhao
4 : 0
Taquarussu
16 Sept
Batalhao
0 : 1
Interporto
12 Sept
Paraiso EC
0 : 3
Batalhao
15 Mar
Tocantinopolis
4 : 2
Batalhao
08 Mar
Batalhao
1 : 1
Bela Vista-TO
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
SD Sparta 2
Araguaia (TO) 1
Bela Vista-TO 4
Sao Jose (TO) 2
Batalhao 5
Araguacema 4
Interporto 2
Guarai SC 4
Semi-finals
SD Sparta 1
Bela Vista-TO 2
Batalhao 5
Guarai SC 1
Final
Bela Vista-TO 5
Batalhao 2