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Araguacema vs SD Sparta

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2 2024
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tocantinense 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Araguacema
35%
Draws
30%
SD Sparta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • SD Sparta haven't matched Araguacema's recent run of results.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Araguacema taking it.
  • Regular Tocantinense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Araguacema Clean Sheet 13%
SD Sparta Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguacema SD Sparta
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.48 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2024 Tocantinense 2
Araguacema vs SD Sparta
1:1
Feb 19, 2020 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Araguacema
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguacema 48 / 100
SD Sparta 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguacema SD Sparta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araguacema Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araguacema scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

SD Sparta has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Araguacema went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araguacema VS SD Sparta
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguacema

(Home)
23 Nov
Batalhao
4 : 1
Araguacema
16 Nov
Araguacema
3 : 1
Batalhao
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
02 Nov
Arsenal (TO)
0 : 2
Araguacema
26 Oct
Araguacema
0 : 3
Bela Vista-TO
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SD Sparta

(Away)
04 Dec
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 1
SD Sparta
30 Nov
SD Sparta
0 : 1
Bela Vista-TO
23 Nov
SD Sparta
1 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
16 Nov
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 1
SD Sparta
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Batalhao 6 4 2 0 22:5 14
2 Interporto 6 3 3 0 16:5 12
3 Araguaia (TO) 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
4 Sao Jose (TO) 6 3 2 1 11:10 11
5 Alvorada 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
6 Taquarussu 6 1 0 5 4:21 3
7 Uniao de Palmas 6 0 0 6 4:18 0
Promotion - Tocantinense 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bela Vista-TO 5 4 1 0 17:1 13
2 SD Sparta 5 3 2 0 10:2 11
3 Guarai SC 5 3 0 2 12:6 9
4 Araguacema 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
5 Arsenal (TO) 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
6 Colinas 4 0 0 4 1:26 0
Promotion - Tocantinense 2 2024 (Play Offs)