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Araguaia (TO) vs Sao Jose (TO) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2
Araguaia (TO) Logo

Araguaia (TO)

Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Sao Jose (TO) Logo

Sao Jose (TO)

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Araguaia (TO) host Sao Jose (TO) in the Tocantinense 2. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Araguaia (TO) have averaged 1.37 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Sao Jose (TO)'s 1.71 scored and 2 conceded. Past meetings favor Araguaia (TO) slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 2, 2024, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 2.31, favoring Araguaia (TO). The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Araguaia (TO)
15%
Draws
50%
Sao Jose (TO)
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Jose (TO)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Jose (TO) have won more games recently than Araguaia (TO).
  • Model gives Sao Jose (TO) a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Araguaia (TO) Clean Sheet 10%
Sao Jose (TO) Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguaia (TO) Sao Jose (TO)
Matches Played 19 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.37 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 Tocantinense 2
Araguaia (TO) vs Sao Jose (TO)
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguaia (TO) 10 / 100
Sao Jose (TO) 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguaia (TO) Sao Jose (TO)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Jose (TO) Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Jose (TO) let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Araguaia (TO) stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Araguaia (TO)'s goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Araguaia (TO) VS Sao Jose (TO)
1.5 Goals Scored 2.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguaia (TO)

(Home)
03 Oct
Interporto
3 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
26 Sept
Paraiso EC
2 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
19 Sept
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 3
Guarai SC
15 Sept
Taquarussu
1 : 5
Araguaia (TO)
12 Sept
Araguaia (TO)
3 : 0
Uniao de Palmas
Page 1 of 4

Sao Jose (TO)

(Away)
03 Oct
Taquarussu
0 : 8
Sao Jose (TO)
26 Sept
Sao Jose (TO)
2 : 1
Batalhao
19 Sept
Uniao de Palmas
1 : 3
Sao Jose (TO)
12 Sept
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Sao Jose (TO)
05 Sept
Sao Jose (TO)
6 : 0
Paraiso EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose (TO) 5 4 1 0 21:4 13
2 Interporto 5 4 1 0 15:3 13
3 Guarai SC 5 3 2 0 21:5 11
4 Batalhao 5 3 0 2 18:3 9
5 Araguaia (TO) 5 3 0 2 12:9 9
6 Taquarussu 5 1 0 4 2:18 3
7 Paraiso EC 5 0 0 5 3:24 0
8 Uniao de Palmas 5 0 0 5 1:27 0
Promotion - Tocantinense 2 (Play Offs)