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Araguaina U20 vs Capital FC U20

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Tocantinense U20 2024
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AI Match Summary

The Tocantinense U20 2024 game between Araguaina U20 and Capital FC U20 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Capital FC U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Araguaina U20
6%
Draws
4%
Capital FC U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Araguaina U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Capital FC U20 come out ahead of Araguaina U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Araguaina U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tocantinense U20 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Araguaina U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Capital FC U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguaina U20 Capital FC U20
Matches Played 15 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 1 3
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.75 3.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2024 Tocantinense U20
Capital FC U20 vs Araguaina U20
1:0
May 19, 2024 Tocantinense U20
Araguaina U20 vs Capital FC U20
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguaina U20 83 / 100
Capital FC U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguaina U20 Capital FC U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araguaina U20 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (15 games).

Defensive concern: Capital FC U20 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Araguaina U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araguaina U20 VS Capital FC U20
1.75 Goals Scored 3.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Uniao EC U201
Tocantinopolis U2010
Tocantins U200
Uniao Carmolandense U208
SD Sparta U203
Batalhao U202
Araguaina U201
Capital FC U203
Interporto U207
Guarai SC U202
Gurupi U203
Araguacema U204
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
Tocantinopolis U201
Uniao Carmolandense U205
SD Sparta U202
Capital FC U204
Interporto U205
Araguacema U204
TBD-
Araguacema U20-
Semi-finals
Uniao Carmolandense U205
Capital FC U202
Interporto U202
Araguacema U204
Final
Uniao Carmolandense U202
Araguacema U200