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Araguaina vs Paraiso EC Prediction & H2H Stats

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Campeonato Tocantinense 2015
Araguaina Logo

Araguaina

1 - 0
FT
Paraiso EC Logo

Paraiso EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Araguaina in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araguaina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Araguaina
30%
Draws
12%
Paraiso EC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Araguaina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Paraiso EC haven't matched Araguaina's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Araguaina's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Araguaina Clean Sheet 20%
Paraiso EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguaina Paraiso EC
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 16 4
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.85 0.62
Goals Conceded 0.82 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 0.64
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2018 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Paraiso EC
3:0
Apr 21, 2018 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Araguaina
0:3
May 7, 2016 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Araguaina
3:2
Apr 12, 2016 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Paraiso EC
1:0
May 5, 2015 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Araguaina
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguaina 85 / 100
Paraiso EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguaina Paraiso EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araguaina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraiso EC has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Araguaina scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Araguaina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Araguaina VS Paraiso EC
2 Goals Scored 0.4
0.88 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguaina

(Home)
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0
Araguaina
21 Jun
Araguaina
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
14 Jun
Araguaina
9 : 0
Galvez
30 May
Guapore
3 : 2
Araguaina
24 May
Araguaina
1 : 1
Porto Velho
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Paraiso EC

(Away)
26 Sept
Paraiso EC
2 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
19 Sept
Paraiso EC
0 : 8
Interporto
12 Sept
Paraiso EC
0 : 3
Batalhao
05 Sept
Sao Jose (TO)
6 : 0
Paraiso EC
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 14 7 5 2 19:12 26
2 Interporto 14 6 5 3 25:23 23
3 Palmas 14 7 1 6 23:17 22
4 Gurupi 14 6 3 5 19:15 21
5 Paraiso EC 14 5 5 4 19:16 20
6 Araguaina 14 5 3 6 18:21 18
7 Tocantins 14 4 2 8 23:33 14
8 Guarai SC 14 3 2 9 20:29 11
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2015 (Play Offs)