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Araguaina vs Paraiso EC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Araguaina in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2018 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araguaina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Araguaina
6%
Draws
4%
Paraiso EC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Araguaina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Araguaina have won more games recently than Paraiso EC.
  • Win probability leans Araguaina's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Araguaina Clean Sheet 20%
Paraiso EC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguaina Paraiso EC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2018 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Paraiso EC
3:0
Apr 21, 2018 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Araguaina
0:3
May 7, 2016 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Araguaina
3:2
Apr 12, 2016 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Paraiso EC
1:0
May 5, 2015 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Araguaina
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguaina 85 / 100
Paraiso EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguaina Paraiso EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraiso EC has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Araguaina's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Araguaina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Araguaina VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguaina

(Home)
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0
Araguaina
21 Jun
Araguaina
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
14 Jun
Araguaina
9 : 0
Galvez
30 May
Guapore
3 : 2
Araguaina
24 May
Araguaina
1 : 1
Porto Velho
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Paraiso EC

(Away)
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
08 Nov
Alvorada
2 : 0
Paraiso EC
02 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Central Tocantinense
18 Oct
Guarai SC
4 : 0
Paraiso EC
12 Oct
Paraiso EC
3 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Interporto1257017:722
2Tocantinopolis1263319:1421
3Palmas1255218:1120
4Gurupi1254323:1019
5SD Sparta1243518:1715
6Araguaina1236313:1315
7Paraiso EC1200120:360
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2018 (Play Offs)