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Araguaina vs Paraiso EC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2018
Araguaina Logo

Araguaina

3 - 0
FT
Paraiso EC Logo

Paraiso EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Araguaina in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2018 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araguaina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Araguaina
30%
Draws
12%
Paraiso EC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Araguaina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Araguaina have won more games recently than Paraiso EC.
  • Win probability leans Araguaina's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Araguaina Clean Sheet 20%
Paraiso EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguaina Paraiso EC
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 13 4
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.73 0.55
Goals Conceded 0.94 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2018 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Paraiso EC
3:0
Apr 21, 2018 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Araguaina
0:3
May 7, 2016 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Araguaina
3:2
Apr 12, 2016 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Paraiso EC
1:0
May 5, 2015 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Araguaina
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguaina 85 / 100
Paraiso EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguaina Paraiso EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araguaina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraiso EC has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Araguaina's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Araguaina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Araguaina VS Paraiso EC
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 4.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguaina

(Home)
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0
Araguaina
21 Jun
Araguaina
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
14 Jun
Araguaina
9 : 0
Galvez
30 May
Guapore
3 : 2
Araguaina
24 May
Araguaina
1 : 1
Porto Velho
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Paraiso EC

(Away)
19 Sept
Paraiso EC
0 : 8
Interporto
12 Sept
Paraiso EC
0 : 3
Batalhao
05 Sept
Sao Jose (TO)
6 : 0
Paraiso EC
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
08 Nov
Alvorada
2 : 0
Paraiso EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Interporto 12 5 7 0 17:7 22
2 Tocantinopolis 12 6 3 3 19:14 21
3 Palmas 12 5 5 2 18:11 20
4 Gurupi 12 5 4 3 23:10 19
5 SD Sparta 12 4 3 5 18:17 15
6 Araguaina 12 3 6 3 13:13 15
7 Paraiso EC 12 0 0 12 0:36 0
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2018 (Play Offs)