Sport Picks

Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2018

SD Sparta

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Araguaina play SD Sparta in the Campeonato Tocantinense 2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Araguaina averaged 1.65 goals scored and 1 conceded. SD Sparta averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Araguaina won 0, SD Sparta won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 4, 2019 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Araguaina and 1.06 for SD Sparta. This points to a SD Sparta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Araguaina

21%

Draws

42%

SD Sparta

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: SD Sparta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Araguaina picked up more points recently compared to SD Sparta.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Araguaina Clean Sheet 22%

SD Sparta Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Araguaina	SD Sparta
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	11	11
Draws	8	7
Losses	12	12
Goals Scored	1.65	1.2
Goals Conceded	1	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2019 Tocantinense

Araguaina vs SD Sparta

Possession: 51% - 58% Cards: 0 - 0

1:2

Apr 17, 2019 Tocantinense

SD Sparta vs Araguaina

Possession: 40% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Jun 2, 2018 Tocantinense

SD Sparta vs Araguaina

Possession: 51% - 44% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Apr 18, 2018 Tocantinense

Araguaina vs SD Sparta

Possession: 47% - 53% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguaina 38 / 100

SD Sparta 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Araguaina SD Sparta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: SD Sparta or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Araguaina attacking → ← attacking SD Sparta

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araguaina scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

SD Sparta let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Araguaina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

SD Sparta lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 40

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Interporto	12	5	7	0	17:7	22
2	Tocantinopolis	12	6	3	3	19:14	21
3	Palmas	12	5	5	2	18:11	20
4	Gurupi	12	5	4	3	23:10	19
5	SD Sparta	12	4	3	5	18:17	15
6	Araguaina	12	3	6	3	13:13	15
7	Paraiso EC	12	0	0	12	0:36	0