Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Araguari W vs Atletico-MG W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro Women
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Pimenta
38' Event
Pimenta
41' Event
Laura Maria

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro Women game between Araguari W and Atletico-MG W finished 0-11, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico-MG W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Araguari W
20%
Draws
73%
Atletico-MG W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico-MG W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Araguari W haven't matched Atletico-MG W's recent run of results.
  • Atletico-MG W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Atletico-MG W have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Araguari W Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico-MG W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguari W Atletico-MG W
Matches Played 27 35
Wins 1 17
Draws 1 6
Losses 25 12
Goals Scored 0.52 2.6
Goals Conceded 8.81 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Mineiro Women
Araguari W vs Atletico-MG W
0:11
Oct 18, 2025 Mineiro Women
Araguari W vs Atletico-MG W
0:17
Sep 23, 2023 Mineiro Women
Atletico-MG W vs Araguari W
9:0
Oct 9, 2022 Mineiro Women
Araguari W vs Atletico-MG W
1:10

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Araguari W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Atletico-MG W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pimenta
5 Goals
Assists Leader Ramos C.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguari W 10 / 100
Atletico-MG W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguari W Atletico-MG W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico-MG W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 12.00 goals as a typical output.

Atletico-MG W let in goals in 69% of their last 35 matches.

Araguari W found the back of the net in 30% of recent matches (27 games).

Recent resilience: Araguari W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araguari W VS Atletico-MG W
0.67 Goals Scored 1.38
6.33 Goals Conceded 1.25
83% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguari W

(Home)
02 Oct
Araguari W
0 : 11
Atletico-MG W
27 Sept
Cruzeiro W
16 : 0
Araguari W
19 Sept
Venda Nova FC W
1 : 1
Araguari W
11 Sept
Araguari W
2 : 5
Democrata GV W
12 May
Vasco W
5 : 1
Araguari W
Page 1 of 6

Atletico-MG W

(Away)
02 Oct
Araguari W
0 : 11
Atletico-MG W
26 Sept
Atletico-MG W
3 : 0
Democrata GV W
12 Sept
America Mineiro W
1 : 3
Atletico-MG W
09 Sept
Atletico-MG W
0 : 0
Itabirito W
22 Aug
CR Flamengo W
4 : 1
Atletico-MG W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro W 5 4 1 0 33:3 13
2 Atletico-MG W 4 3 1 0 17:1 10
3 Itabirito W 4 2 2 0 15:5 8
4 America Mineiro W 5 2 0 3 15:8 6
5 Democrata GV W 5 2 0 3 9:15 6
6 Venda Nova FC W 5 0 1 4 2:29 1
7 Araguari W 4 0 1 3 3:33 1
Promotion - Mineiro Women (Play Offs)