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Araguari W vs Itabirito W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro Women
Araguari W Logo

Araguari W

Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Itabirito W Logo

Itabirito W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Araguari W host Itabirito W in the Mineiro Women. Itabirito W are expected to control this from the start. Itabirito W have shipped 0.81 goals a game lately, while Araguari W have conceded 8.81 and scored 0.52. Past meetings favor Itabirito W slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 5, 2025, ending 7:0. Model xG sits at 0.49 vs 4.00, favoring Itabirito W. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Araguari W
20%
Draws
73%
Itabirito W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Itabirito W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Itabirito W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Itabirito W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 36.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Araguari W Clean Sheet 10%
Itabirito W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguari W Itabirito W
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 1 22
Draws 1 6
Losses 25 4
Goals Scored 0.52 2.44
Goals Conceded 8.81 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.49 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 Mineiro Women
Itabirito W vs Araguari W
7:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguari W 10 / 100
Itabirito W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguari W Itabirito W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itabirito W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Araguari W scored in 30% of their last 27 outings.

Itabirito W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Araguari W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araguari W VS Itabirito W
0.6 Goals Scored 2.25
6.6 Goals Conceded 0.38
80% Over 1.5 63%
60% Over 2.5 38%
60% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguari W

(Home)
02 Oct
Araguari W
0 : 11
Atletico-MG W
27 Sept
Cruzeiro W
16 : 0
Araguari W
19 Sept
Venda Nova FC W
1 : 1
Araguari W
11 Sept
Araguari W
2 : 5
Democrata GV W
12 May
Vasco W
5 : 1
Araguari W
Page 1 of 6

Itabirito W

(Away)
04 Oct
Venda Nova FC W
0 : 9
Itabirito W
30 Sept
Itabirito W
3 : 2
America Mineiro W
23 Sept
Itabirito W
3 : 3
Cruzeiro W
20 Sept
Vasco W
1 : 2
Itabirito W
13 Sept
Itabirito W
1 : 3
Vasco W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro W 5 4 1 0 33:3 13
2 Atletico-MG W 4 3 1 0 17:1 10
3 Itabirito W 4 2 2 0 15:5 8
4 America Mineiro W 5 2 0 3 15:8 6
5 Democrata GV W 4 1 0 3 5:15 3
6 Venda Nova FC W 4 0 1 3 2:25 1
7 Araguari W 4 0 1 3 3:33 1
Promotion - Mineiro Women (Play Offs)