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Stadium Background

Araioses vs Timon EC (MA)

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Araioses
35%
Draws
27%
Timon EC (MA)
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Araioses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Araioses carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Araioses's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Araioses have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Araioses, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Araioses Clean Sheet 68%
Timon EC (MA) Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araioses Timon EC (MA)
Matches Played 10 20
Wins 7 6
Draws 3 9
Losses 0 5
Goals Scored 1.3 1
Goals Conceded 0.3 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Maranhense 2
Timon EC (MA) vs Araioses
1:1
Jul 18, 2026 Maranhense 2
Araioses vs Timon EC (MA)
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araioses 51 / 100
Timon EC (MA) 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araioses Timon EC (MA)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araioses's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 10 recent games.

Solid form: Araioses remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Timon EC (MA) has conceded goals in 55% of their last 20 outings.

Scoring Trends

Araioses VS Timon EC (MA)
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Araioses

(Home)
25 Jul
Lago Verde
1 : 2
Araioses
22 Jul
Timon EC (MA)
1 : 1
Araioses
18 Jul
Araioses
1 : 0
Timon EC (MA)
15 Jul
Araioses
2 : 0
Cordino EC
11 Jul
Cordino EC
1 : 1
Araioses
Page 1 of 2

Timon EC (MA)

(Away)
22 Jul
Timon EC (MA)
1 : 1
Araioses
18 Jul
Araioses
1 : 0
Timon EC (MA)
15 Jul
Timon EC (MA)
5 : 1
Tupan
11 Jul
Tupan
0 : 1
Timon EC (MA)
27 Jun
Timon EC (MA)
0 : 0
Cordino EC
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Pinheiro 2
Sao Luis 1
Expressinho 2
Lago Verde 6
Cordino EC 1
Araioses 3
Tupan 1
Timon EC (MA) 6
Semi-finals
Pinheiro 2
Lago Verde 4
Araioses 2
Timon EC (MA) 1
Final
Lago Verde 1
Araioses 2