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Araks Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

First League Araks Stadium, Ararat
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Araks Ararat host Ararat-Armenia 2 in the First League. Araks Ararat are expected to control this from the start. Araks Ararat have averaged 1.37 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Ararat-Armenia 2's 1.43 scored and 2.1 conceded. Head-to-head, Araks Ararat have won 2 to Ararat-Armenia 2's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 20, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Araks Ararat to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Araks Ararat
35%
Draws
25%
Ararat-Armenia 2
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Araks Ararat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Araks Ararat carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Araks Ararat a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Araks Ararat Clean Sheet 20%
Ararat-Armenia 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araks Ararat Ararat-Armenia 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.37 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 First League
Araks Ararat vs Ararat-Armenia 2
3:2
Nov 4, 2025 First League
Ararat-Armenia 2 vs Araks Ararat
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araks Ararat 76 / 100
Ararat-Armenia 2 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araks Ararat Ararat-Armenia 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araks Ararat Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ararat-Armenia 2 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Araks Ararat found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Araks Ararat remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Araks Ararat VS Ararat-Armenia 2
2 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Araks Ararat

(Home)
08 Oct
Lernayin Artsakh
1 : 2
Araks Ararat
21 Sept
Araks Ararat
0 : 0
BKMA 2
15 Sept
Pyunik Yerevan 2
0 : 2
Araks Ararat
07 Sept
Araks Ararat
1 : 1
Noah 2
01 Sept
Olympia Yerevan
2 : 1
Araks Ararat
Page 1 of 6

Ararat-Armenia 2

(Away)
08 Oct
Ararat-Armenia 2
1 : 4
Andranik
22 Sept
Sardarapat 2
0 : 1
Ararat-Armenia 2
14 Sept
Ararat-Armenia 2
3 : 5
Bentonit
08 Sept
Urartu 2
2 : 2
Ararat-Armenia 2
01 Sept
Ararat-Armenia 2
1 : 1
Mika
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olympia Yerevan 7 6 1 0 18:5 19
2 Andranik 8 5 1 2 21:9 16
3 BKMA 2 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
4 Bentonit 8 4 3 1 25:16 15
5 Araks Ararat 7 3 3 1 10:6 12
6 Lernayin Artsakh 8 4 0 4 17:16 12
7 Pyunik Yerevan 2 9 3 2 4 14:16 11
8 Mika 8 3 2 3 15:16 11
9 Shirak Gyumri 2 7 3 1 3 7:12 10
10 Urartu 2 8 1 5 2 11:17 8
11 Ararat Yerevan 2 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
12 Noah 2 8 1 3 4 8:20 6
13 Ararat-Armenia 2 8 1 2 5 8:16 5
14 Sardarapat 2 8 1 0 7 6:18 3
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