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Araks Ararat vs BKMA 2

Armenia Armenia

First League 2025/2026 Araks Stadium, Ararat
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The First League 2025/2026 game between Araks Ararat and BKMA 2 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BKMA 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Araks Ararat
20%
Draws
42%
BKMA 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BKMA 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • BKMA 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular First League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Araks Ararat Clean Sheet 10%
BKMA 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araks Ararat BKMA 2
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 22
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.39 2.66
Goals Conceded 1.71 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 First League
Araks Ararat vs BKMA 2
0:1
Sep 11, 2025 First League
BKMA 2 vs Araks Ararat
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araks Ararat 29 / 100
BKMA 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araks Ararat BKMA 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araks Ararat Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araks Ararat scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Araks Ararat went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

BKMA 2 has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Araks Ararat VS BKMA 2
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Araks Ararat

(Home)
15 Sept
Pyunik Yerevan 2
0 : 2
Araks Ararat
07 Sept
Araks Ararat
1 : 1
Noah 2
01 Sept
Olympia Yerevan
2 : 1
Araks Ararat
24 Aug
Araks Ararat
4 : 2
Cilicia
15 Aug
Shirak Gyumri 2
1 : 1
Araks Ararat
Page 1 of 6

BKMA 2

(Away)
14 Sept
BKMA 2
1 : 4
Andranik
08 Sept
Sardarapat 2
0 : 4
BKMA 2
01 Sept
BKMA 2
2 : 0
Bentonit
19 Aug
Urartu 2
3 : 2
BKMA 2
14 Aug
BKMA 2
3 : 1
Mika
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sardarapat 30 24 4 2 81:18 76
2 BKMA 2 30 22 5 3 77:31 71
3 Hayq 30 22 2 6 59:24 68
4 Syunik 30 22 1 7 83:26 67
5 Andranik 30 21 3 6 76:30 66
6 Pyunik Yerevan 2 30 12 8 10 43:43 44
7 Ararat Yerevan 2 30 12 2 16 43:58 38
8 Araks Ararat 30 11 4 15 38:51 37
9 Urartu 2 30 9 9 12 46:54 36
10 Noah 2 30 8 7 15 39:58 31
11 Bentonit 30 7 8 15 33:49 29
12 Mika 30 7 7 16 32:60 28
13 Ararat-Armenia 2 30 6 6 18 46:62 24
14 Van 2 30 6 6 18 33:58 24
15 Lernayin Artsakh 30 7 2 21 22:74 23
16 Shirak Gyumri 2 30 4 6 20 34:89 18
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