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Araks Ararat vs Mika

Armenia Armenia

First League 2025/2026 Araks Stadium, Ararat
Araks Ararat Logo

Araks Ararat

3 - 1
FT
Mika Logo

Mika

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The First League 2025/2026 game between Araks Ararat and Mika finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Araks Ararat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Araks Ararat
35%
Draws
32%
Mika
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Araks Ararat come out ahead of Mika on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Araks Ararat taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Araks Ararat Clean Sheet 10%
Mika Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araks Ararat Mika
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.39 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.71 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 First League
Araks Ararat vs Mika
3:1
Oct 16, 2025 First League
Mika vs Araks Ararat
1:1
Nov 3, 2003 Premier League
Araks Ararat vs Mika
2:4
Oct 24, 2003 Premier League
Mika vs Araks Ararat
2:0
Jun 27, 2003 Premier League
Mika vs Araks Ararat
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araks Ararat 40 / 100
Mika 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araks Ararat Mika

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Araks Ararat scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Mika conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Araks Ararat has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Araks Ararat VS Mika
2 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Araks Ararat

(Home)
15 Sept
Pyunik Yerevan 2
0 : 2
Araks Ararat
07 Sept
Araks Ararat
1 : 1
Noah 2
01 Sept
Olympia Yerevan
2 : 1
Araks Ararat
24 Aug
Araks Ararat
4 : 2
Cilicia
15 Aug
Shirak Gyumri 2
1 : 1
Araks Ararat
Page 1 of 6

Mika

(Away)
15 Sept
Mika
1 : 1
Urartu 2
01 Sept
Ararat-Armenia 2
1 : 1
Mika
26 Aug
Mika
4 : 3
Bentonit
18 Aug
Mika
3 : 1
Lernayin Artsakh
14 Aug
BKMA 2
3 : 1
Mika
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sardarapat 30 24 4 2 81:18 76
2 BKMA 2 30 22 5 3 77:31 71
3 Hayq 30 22 2 6 59:24 68
4 Syunik 30 22 1 7 83:26 67
5 Andranik 30 21 3 6 76:30 66
6 Pyunik Yerevan 2 30 12 8 10 43:43 44
7 Ararat Yerevan 2 30 12 2 16 43:58 38
8 Araks Ararat 30 11 4 15 38:51 37
9 Urartu 2 30 9 9 12 46:54 36
10 Noah 2 30 8 7 15 39:58 31
11 Bentonit 30 7 8 15 33:49 29
12 Mika 30 7 7 16 32:60 28
13 Ararat-Armenia 2 30 6 6 18 46:62 24
14 Van 2 30 6 6 18 33:58 24
15 Lernayin Artsakh 30 7 2 21 22:74 23
16 Shirak Gyumri 2 30 4 6 20 34:89 18
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