Sport Picks

Armenia

First League 2025/2026 Araks Stadium

Araks Ararat

2 - 1

Shirak Gyumri 2

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The First League 2025/2026 game between Araks Ararat and Shirak Gyumri 2 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Araks Ararat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Araks Ararat

33%

Draws

27%

Shirak Gyumri 2

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Araks Ararat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Araks Ararat carry the better recent record into this one.
Araks Ararat are the model's pick here, at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Araks Ararat Clean Sheet 17%

Shirak Gyumri 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Araks Ararat	Shirak Gyumri 2
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	4
Draws	4	6
Losses	15	20
Goals Scored	1.5	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.5	3.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 First League

Araks Ararat vs Shirak Gyumri 2

Possession: 53% - 43% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Aug 28, 2025 First League

Shirak Gyumri 2 vs Araks Ararat

Possession: 40% - 58% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araks Ararat 39 / 100

Shirak Gyumri 2 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Araks Ararat Shirak Gyumri 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shirak Gyumri 2 let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Araks Ararat scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Shirak Gyumri 2 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Araks Ararat VS Shirak Gyumri 2

1.5 Goals Scored 1.25

1.5 Goals Conceded 3.13

75% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sardarapat	30	24	4	2	81:18	76
2	BKMA 2	30	22	5	3	77:31	71
3	Hayq	30	22	2	6	59:24	68
4	Syunik	30	22	1	7	83:26	67
5	Andranik	30	21	3	6	76:30	66
6	Pyunik Yerevan 2	30	12	8	10	43:43	44
7	Ararat Yerevan 2	30	12	2	16	43:58	38
8	Araks Ararat	30	11	4	15	38:51	37
9	Urartu 2	30	9	9	12	46:54	36
10	Noah 2	30	8	7	15	39:58	31
11	Bentonit	30	7	8	15	33:49	29
12	Mika	30	7	7	16	32:60	28
13	Ararat-Armenia 2	30	6	6	18	46:62	24
14	Van 2	30	6	6	18	33:58	24
15	Lernayin Artsakh	30	7	2	21	22:74	23
16	Shirak Gyumri 2	30	4	6	20	34:89	18