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Araks Ararat vs Van 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Armenia Armenia

First League 2025/2026 Araks Stadium, Ararat
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AI Match Summary

The First League 2025/2026 game between Araks Ararat and Van 2 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Araks Ararat
20%
Draws
34%
Van 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Araks Ararat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Araks Ararat come out ahead of Van 2 on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Araks Ararat taking it.
  • Regular First League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Araks Ararat Clean Sheet 12%
Van 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araks Ararat Van 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.33 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 First League
Araks Ararat vs Van 2
2:2
Aug 19, 2025 First League
Van 2 vs Araks Ararat
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araks Ararat 40 / 100
Van 2 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araks Ararat Van 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araks Ararat found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Van 2 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Araks Ararat has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Araks Ararat VS Van 2
1.88 Goals Scored 1.33
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.83
88% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 33%
63% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Araks Ararat

(Home)
21 Sept
Araks Ararat
0 : 0
BKMA 2
15 Sept
Pyunik Yerevan 2
0 : 2
Araks Ararat
07 Sept
Araks Ararat
1 : 1
Noah 2
01 Sept
Olympia Yerevan
2 : 1
Araks Ararat
24 Aug
Araks Ararat
4 : 2
Cilicia
Page 1 of 6

Van 2

(Away)
26 May
Van 2
0 : 1
Pyunik Yerevan 2
20 May
Lernayin Artsakh
0 : 2
Van 2
15 May
Van 2
0 : 2
BKMA 2
05 May
Noah 2
1 : 0
Van 2
25 Apr
Van 2
3 : 0
Shirak Gyumri 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sardarapat 30 24 4 2 81:18 76
2 BKMA 2 30 22 5 3 77:31 71
3 Hayq 30 22 2 6 59:24 68
4 Syunik 30 22 1 7 83:26 67
5 Andranik 30 21 3 6 76:30 66
6 Pyunik Yerevan 2 30 12 8 10 43:43 44
7 Ararat Yerevan 2 30 12 2 16 43:58 38
8 Araks Ararat 30 11 4 15 38:51 37
9 Urartu 2 30 9 9 12 46:54 36
10 Noah 2 30 8 7 15 39:58 31
11 Bentonit 30 7 8 15 33:49 29
12 Mika 30 7 7 16 32:60 28
13 Ararat-Armenia 2 30 6 6 18 46:62 24
14 Van 2 30 6 6 18 33:58 24
15 Lernayin Artsakh 30 7 2 21 22:74 23
16 Shirak Gyumri 2 30 4 6 20 34:89 18
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