Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aral vs FK Istiklol Toshkent

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pro Liga 2013 game between Aral and FK Istiklol Toshkent finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aral.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Aral
6%
Draws
4%
FK Istiklol Toshkent
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Aral carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aral a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Aral Clean Sheet 20%
FK Istiklol Toshkent Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aral FK Istiklol Toshkent
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 11
Draws 4 2
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2014 Pro Liga
FK Istiklol Toshkent vs Aral
2:1
Sep 18, 2014 Pro Liga
Aral vs FK Istiklol Toshkent
3:0
Oct 6, 2013 Pro Liga
Aral vs FK Istiklol Toshkent
1:0
Sep 3, 2013 Pro Liga
FK Istiklol Toshkent vs Aral
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aral 85 / 100
FK Istiklol Toshkent 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aral FK Istiklol Toshkent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aral found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

FK Istiklol Toshkent has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Aral stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Aral VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aral

(Home)
08 Jun
Jayxun
1 : 4
Aral
03 Jun
Aral
3 : 0
Pakhtakor II
29 May
TerDU
0 : 1
Aral
06 May
Aral
5 : 1
Yaypan
01 May
FC Lochin
2 : 2
Aral
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FK Istiklol Toshkent

(Away)
29 Oct
Shortan Guzor
3 : 1
FK Istiklol Toshkent
26 Oct
Mashal Muborak II
6 : 0
FK Istiklol Toshkent
18 Oct
FK Istiklol Toshkent
3 : 1
Sherdor
15 Oct
FK Istiklol Toshkent
1 : 2
Alanga
08 Oct
Zaamin
4 : 1
FK Istiklol Toshkent
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mashal Muborak30234376:1673
2Andijan30232576:2471
3Kokand 191230185749:3159
4FK Zarafshon NTsZ Navoiy30157853:4352
5Xorazm Urganch301451141:3447
6FK Spartak Buxoro301441251:4546
7Osiyo Tashkent301341342:4243
8Sherdor301231539:4939
9FK Chust Pakhtakor301161342:5739
10Oktepa Tashkent301081239:4838
11FK Istiklol Toshkent30991231:4036
12Registan Samarkand30951634:5832
13FK Kasansay30851737:5529
14Alanga30751832:5426
15Pakhtakor II30741930:5525
16Aral30741932:5325
Promotion - Professional Football League 2014 (Main)