Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aral vs Jayxun - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aral host Jayxun in the Pro Liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Aral have averaged 1.9 scored and 0.71 conceded recently, against Jayxun's 1.14 scored and 1.83 conceded. Past meetings favor Aral slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 8, 2026, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 0.81, favoring Aral. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Aral
15%
Draws
27%
Jayxun
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Aral carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aral a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aral have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Aral Clean Sheet 20%
Jayxun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aral Jayxun
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 21 8
Draws 6 3
Losses 4 18
Goals Scored 1.9 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2026 Pro Liga
Jayxun vs Aral
1:4
Oct 5, 2025 Pro Liga
Jayxun vs Aral
1:2
Aug 12, 2025 Pro Liga
Aral vs Jayxun
2:1
May 18, 2025 Pro Liga
Jayxun vs Aral
0:0
Apr 3, 2025 Pro Liga
Aral vs Jayxun
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aral 85 / 100
Jayxun 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aral Jayxun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aral Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aral's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Aral went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Jayxun let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Aral VS Jayxun
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aral

(Home)
08 Oct
Aral
3 : 0
TerDU
21 Sept
Yaypan
2 : 5
Aral
13 Sept
Aral
2 : 0
FC Lochin
07 Sept
FarDU
1 : 1
Aral
27 Aug
Aral
1 : 0
Kattaqurgon
Page 1 of 7

Jayxun

(Away)
07 Oct
Shortan Guzor
3 : 1
Jayxun
20 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Jayxun
12 Sept
Jayxun
2 : 0
Pakhtakor II
07 Sept
TerDU
0 : 1
Jayxun
30 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 0
Jayxun
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 21 16 4 1 45:13 52
2 Shortan Guzor 21 14 3 4 38:20 45
3 Metallurg Bekabad 21 13 4 4 49:16 43
4 FarDU 21 11 7 3 39:29 40
5 FC Lochin 21 10 5 6 32:25 35
6 Gazalkent 21 10 5 6 39:25 35
7 Kattaqurgon 20 10 3 7 24:20 33
8 Olimpik-Mobiuz 19 9 5 5 36:22 32
9 Respublika FA 20 7 4 9 27:30 25
10 Jayxun 21 7 3 11 23:28 24
11 Yaypan 21 6 4 11 24:39 22
12 BuxDu 21 3 1 17 18:54 10
13 Pakhtakor II 21 3 1 17 15:49 10
14 TerDU 21 1 1 19 12:51 4
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Pro Liga (Promotion)