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Aral vs Nurafshon

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga 2016
Aral Logo

Aral

2 - 1
FT
Nurafshon Logo

Nurafshon

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aral in this Pro Liga 2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aral.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Aral
30%
Draws
31%
Nurafshon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aral lately — more wins on the board than Nurafshon.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Pro Liga 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Aral Clean Sheet 20%
Nurafshon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aral Nurafshon
Matches Played 53 31
Wins 26 6
Draws 12 7
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.68 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2017 Pro Liga
Nurafshon vs Aral
1:0
Apr 13, 2017 Pro Liga
Aral vs Nurafshon
4:3
Sep 14, 2016 Pro Liga
Aral vs Nurafshon
2:1
May 26, 2016 Pro Liga
Nurafshon vs Aral
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aral 36 / 100
Nurafshon 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aral Nurafshon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nurafshon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aral's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 53 recent games.

Defensive concern: Nurafshon conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Aral has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aral VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aral

(Home)
27 Aug
Aral
1 : 0
Kattaqurgon
20 Aug
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 1
Aral
15 Aug
Aral
2 : 0
BuxDu
10 Aug
Respublika FA
0 : 0
Aral
05 Aug
Aral
1 : 0
Metallurg Bekabad
Page 1 of 11

Nurafshon

(Away)
26 Nov
Istiklol Fergana
2 : 1
Nurafshon
01 Nov
FK Yozyovon
0 : 0
Nurafshon
29 Oct
Norin Haqqulobod
0 : 0
Nurafshon
24 Oct
Nurafshon
6 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
21 Oct
Nurafshon
1 : 0
Aral
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Samarkand 32 26 4 2 86:19 82
2 Norin Haqqulobod 32 24 3 5 63:29 75
3 Sementchi Kuvasoy 32 23 5 4 69:19 74
4 Uz Dong Ju Andijon 32 17 4 11 67:58 55
5 Osiyo Tashkent 32 15 6 11 63:46 51
6 Nasaf Qarshi II 32 15 1 16 61:62 46
7 Xorazm Urganch 32 12 6 14 56:50 42
8 Nurafshon 32 13 2 17 56:61 41
9 Mashal Muborak II 32 11 8 13 46:59 41
10 Aral 32 12 2 18 71:88 38
11 FK Yozyovon 32 11 5 16 58:76 38
12 Zaamin 32 10 6 16 44:59 36
13 Lokomotiv BFK 32 10 5 17 55:66 35
14 Khotira 79 32 10 3 19 51:78 33
15 Gijduvon 32 9 5 18 51:93 32
16 FK Kasansay 32 9 4 19 42:63 31
17 Pakhtakor II 32 7 7 18 49:62 28
18 Oktepa Tashkent 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Professional Football League 2017 (Main)
Promotion - Professional Football League 2016 (Relegation)