Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aral vs Olimpik-Mobiuz

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Utamurodov J.

AI Match Summary

The Pro Liga game between Aral and Olimpik-Mobiuz finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aral.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Aral
20%
Draws
45%
Olimpik-Mobiuz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olimpik-Mobiuz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Aral carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Aral Clean Sheet 20%
Olimpik-Mobiuz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aral Olimpik-Mobiuz
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 21 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.83 1.85
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Pro Liga
Olimpik-Mobiuz vs Aral
2:1
Apr 17, 2026 Pro Liga
Aral vs Olimpik-Mobiuz
1:0
Oct 20, 2025 Pro Liga
Olimpik-Mobiuz vs Aral
3:1
Aug 19, 2025 Pro Liga
Aral vs Olimpik-Mobiuz
2:1
May 27, 2025 Pro Liga
Olimpik-Mobiuz vs Aral
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aral Compare

Top Goalscorer Utamurodov J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Olimpik-Mobiuz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aral 31 / 100
Olimpik-Mobiuz 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aral Olimpik-Mobiuz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aral Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aral scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Olimpik-Mobiuz conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Aral has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aral VS Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 Goals Scored 2.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aral

(Home)
27 Aug
Aral
1 : 0
Kattaqurgon
20 Aug
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 1
Aral
15 Aug
Aral
2 : 0
BuxDu
10 Aug
Respublika FA
0 : 0
Aral
05 Aug
Aral
1 : 0
Metallurg Bekabad
Page 1 of 6

Olimpik-Mobiuz

(Away)
20 Aug
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 1
Aral
14 Aug
Gazalkent
0 : 1
Olimpik-Mobiuz
10 Aug
Olimpik-Mobiuz
0 : 0
Shortan Guzor
05 Aug
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 1
Jayxun
30 Jul
Pakhtakor II
1 : 4
Olimpik-Mobiuz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 17 13 3 1 34:10 42
2 Shortan Guzor 17 10 3 4 24:18 33
3 FarDU 17 9 5 3 30:23 32
4 Metallurg Bekabad 17 9 4 4 41:14 31
5 FC Lochin 17 9 4 4 25:17 31
6 Kattaqurgon 17 9 3 5 21:14 30
7 Olimpik-Mobiuz 16 8 4 4 30:16 28
8 Gazalkent 17 8 3 6 31:21 27
9 Yaypan 17 6 3 8 20:28 21
10 Jayxun 17 5 3 9 19:24 18
11 Respublika FA 15 3 4 8 15:24 13
12 BuxDu 16 3 1 12 13:39 10
13 Pakhtakor II 17 3 1 13 13:39 10
14 TerDU 17 1 1 15 11:40 4
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Pro Liga (Promotion)