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Aral vs Pakhtakor II Prediction & H2H Stats

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Kalmagambetov R.
36' Event
Khotamov J.
Own Goal
47' Event
Kalmagambetov R.

AI Match Summary

The Pro Liga game between Aral and Pakhtakor II finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aral.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Aral
15%
Draws
20%
Pakhtakor II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Pakhtakor II haven't matched Aral's recent run of results.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Aral taking it.
  • Regular Pro Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Aral Clean Sheet 20%
Pakhtakor II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aral Pakhtakor II
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 4
Draws 6 3
Losses 4 22
Goals Scored 1.87 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.73 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Pro Liga
Aral vs Pakhtakor II
3:0
Nov 2, 2016 Pro Liga
Pakhtakor II vs Aral
1:1
Apr 6, 2016 Pro Liga
Aral vs Pakhtakor II
6:2
Nov 2, 2015 Pro Liga
Pakhtakor II vs Aral
1:1
Aug 18, 2015 Pro Liga
Aral vs Pakhtakor II
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aral Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalmagambetov R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Pakhtakor II Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aral 85 / 100
Pakhtakor II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aral Pakhtakor II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aral Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aral scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Pakhtakor II conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Aral went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aral VS Pakhtakor II
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aral

(Home)
21 Sept
Yaypan
2 : 5
Aral
13 Sept
Aral
2 : 0
FC Lochin
07 Sept
FarDU
1 : 1
Aral
27 Aug
Aral
1 : 0
Kattaqurgon
20 Aug
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 1
Aral
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Pakhtakor II

(Away)
21 Sept
Pakhtakor II
0 : 4
Shortan Guzor
12 Sept
Jayxun
2 : 0
Pakhtakor II
07 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Pakhtakor II
28 Aug
Pakhtakor II
3 : 0
TerDU
20 Aug
Yaypan
2 : 0
Pakhtakor II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 20 15 4 1 42:13 49
2 Shortan Guzor 20 13 3 4 35:19 42
3 Metallurg Bekabad 20 12 4 4 46:16 40
4 FarDU 20 11 6 3 37:27 39
5 Kattaqurgon 19 10 3 6 24:17 33
6 FC Lochin 20 9 5 6 26:23 32
7 Gazalkent 20 9 5 6 36:23 32
8 Olimpik-Mobiuz 18 9 4 5 34:20 31
9 Jayxun 20 7 3 10 22:25 24
10 Yaypan 20 6 4 10 23:37 22
11 Respublika FA 19 6 4 9 25:29 22
12 BuxDu 20 3 1 16 16:48 10
13 Pakhtakor II 20 3 1 16 13:46 10
14 TerDU 20 1 1 18 12:48 4
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Pro Liga (Promotion)