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Aral vs TerDU - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga
Thu, Oct 8, 2026
3 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aral host TerDU in the Pro Liga. Aral go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Aral at 1.87 goals for, 0.73 against; TerDU at 0.62 for, 2.38 against. Head-to-head, Aral have won 2 to TerDU's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 8, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 0.44, favoring Aral. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Aral
15%
Draws
0%
TerDU
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aral lately — more wins on the board than TerDU.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Aral taking it.
  • Regular Pro Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Aral Clean Sheet 20%
TerDU Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aral TerDU
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 20 1
Draws 6 1
Losses 4 19
Goals Scored 1.87 0.62
Goals Conceded 0.73 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Pro Liga
Aral vs TerDU
3:0
May 29, 2026 Pro Liga
TerDU vs Aral
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aral 85 / 100
TerDU 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aral TerDU

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aral Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aral found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

TerDU let in goals in 95% of their last 21 matches.

TerDU's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Aral VS TerDU
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aral

(Home)
21 Sept
Yaypan
2 : 5
Aral
13 Sept
Aral
2 : 0
FC Lochin
07 Sept
FarDU
1 : 1
Aral
27 Aug
Aral
1 : 0
Kattaqurgon
20 Aug
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 1
Aral
Page 1 of 6

TerDU

(Away)
22 Sept
TerDU
1 : 4
Gazalkent
12 Sept
Shortan Guzor
3 : 0
TerDU
07 Sept
TerDU
0 : 1
Jayxun
28 Aug
Pakhtakor II
3 : 0
TerDU
20 Aug
TerDU
0 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 20 15 4 1 42:13 49
2 Shortan Guzor 21 14 3 4 38:20 45
3 Metallurg Bekabad 21 13 4 4 49:16 43
4 FarDU 21 11 7 3 39:29 40
5 FC Lochin 21 10 5 6 32:25 35
6 Kattaqurgon 20 10 3 7 24:20 33
7 Olimpik-Mobiuz 19 9 5 5 36:22 32
8 Gazalkent 20 9 5 6 36:23 32
9 Respublika FA 20 7 4 9 27:30 25
10 Jayxun 21 7 3 11 23:28 24
11 Yaypan 21 6 4 11 24:39 22
12 BuxDu 21 3 1 17 18:54 10
13 Pakhtakor II 20 3 1 16 13:46 10
14 TerDU 20 1 1 18 12:48 4
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