Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aral vs Yaypan

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Anuarov R.
28' Event
Abdurashidov A.
Own Goal
39' Event
Nomozov M.

AI Match Summary

The Pro Liga game between Aral and Yaypan finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aral.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Aral
20%
Draws
23%
Yaypan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aral come out ahead of Yaypan on wins alone.
  • Aral are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Aral Clean Sheet 20%
Yaypan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aral Yaypan
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 21 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.9 1.15
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Pro Liga
Yaypan vs Aral
2:5
May 6, 2026 Pro Liga
Aral vs Yaypan
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aral Compare

Top Goalscorer Anuarov R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nomozov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Yaypan Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibrohimxonov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aral 85 / 100
Yaypan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aral Yaypan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aral Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aral found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.

Yaypan has conceded goals in 70% of their last 20 outings.

Solid form: Aral remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aral VS Yaypan
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aral

(Home)
21 Sept
Yaypan
2 : 5
Aral
13 Sept
Aral
2 : 0
FC Lochin
07 Sept
FarDU
1 : 1
Aral
27 Aug
Aral
1 : 0
Kattaqurgon
20 Aug
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 1
Aral
Page 1 of 6

Yaypan

(Away)
21 Sept
Yaypan
2 : 5
Aral
11 Sept
Gazalkent
0 : 0
Yaypan
06 Sept
Yaypan
1 : 4
Shortan Guzor
25 Aug
Jayxun
3 : 1
Yaypan
20 Aug
Yaypan
2 : 0
Pakhtakor II
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 20 15 4 1 42:13 49
2 Shortan Guzor 20 13 3 4 35:19 42
3 Metallurg Bekabad 20 12 4 4 46:16 40
4 FarDU 20 11 6 3 37:27 39
5 Kattaqurgon 19 10 3 6 24:17 33
6 FC Lochin 20 9 5 6 26:23 32
7 Gazalkent 20 9 5 6 36:23 32
8 Olimpik-Mobiuz 18 9 4 5 34:20 31
9 Jayxun 20 7 3 10 22:25 24
10 Yaypan 20 6 4 10 23:37 22
11 Respublika FA 19 6 4 9 25:29 22
12 BuxDu 20 3 1 16 16:48 10
13 Pakhtakor II 20 3 1 16 13:46 10
14 TerDU 20 1 1 18 12:48 4
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Pro Liga (Promotion)