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Arambagh vs Bashundara Kings

Bangladesh Bangladesh

BFL
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Bista A.
(Penalty)
34'
Rocky M.
39'
Sub
Amaniapong O. In: Musa A.
Out: Amaniapong O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this BFL matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Arambagh
35%
Draws
55%
Bashundara Kings
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bashundara Kings

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Bashundara Kings have won more games recently than Arambagh.
  • 55% — that's where the model lands on Bashundara Kings taking it.
  • Regular BFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bashundara Kings here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Arambagh Clean Sheet 10%
Bashundara Kings Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arambagh Bashundara Kings
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 4 18
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 0.5 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 BFL
Arambagh vs Bashundara Kings
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 BFL
Bashundara Kings vs Arambagh
2:1
Apr 7, 2026 Federation Cup
Arambagh vs Bashundara Kings
0:5
Nov 24, 2025 BFL
Arambagh vs Bashundara Kings
0:2
Aug 12, 2021 BFL
Arambagh vs Bashundara Kings
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arambagh Compare

Top Goalscorer Juel S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Bashundara Kings Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arambagh 10 / 100
Bashundara Kings 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arambagh Bashundara Kings

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bashundara Kings Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bashundara Kings has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Arambagh scored in 36% of their last 28 games.

Arambagh has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arambagh VS Bashundara Kings
0.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arambagh

(Home)
19 Sept
Arambagh
1 : 1
Bashundara Kings
23 May
Arambagh
0 : 4
Abahani Limited Dhaka
15 May
Bangladesh Police
2 : 0
Arambagh
09 May
Arambagh
0 : 2
Mohammedan
30 Apr
Brothers U.
2 : 2
Arambagh
Page 1 of 6

Bashundara Kings

(Away)
19 Sept
Arambagh
1 : 1
Bashundara Kings
23 May
Bashundara Kings
4 : 1
Fakirerpool YMC
20 May
Bashundara Kings
3 : 2
Mohammedan
15 May
Abahani Limited Dhaka
0 : 2
Bashundara Kings
08 May
Bashundara Kings
1 : 1
Bangladesh Police
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortis 1 1 0 0 6:0 3
2 City Club 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Fakirerpool YMC 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Bangladesh Police 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Arambagh 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Bashundara Kings 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Abahani Limited Dhaka 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 PWD Sports Club 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 Mohammedan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Dhaka Wanderers 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
11 Rahmatgonj MFS 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
12 Brothers U. 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
13 Chattogram 1 0 0 1 0:6 0
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