Sport Picks

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Arambagh vs Brothers U.

Bangladesh Bangladesh

BFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Rudwere M.
Penalty Missed
18'
Brossou D.
33' Event
Shawon M.
Assist: Rahad K.

AI Match Summary

The BFL 2025/2026 game between Arambagh and Brothers U. finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arambagh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Arambagh
30%
Draws
23%
Brothers U.
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arambagh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brothers U. come out ahead of Arambagh on wins alone.
  • Model gives Arambagh a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular BFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Arambagh Clean Sheet 17%
Brothers U. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arambagh Brothers U.
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 4 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.5 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 BFL
Brothers U. vs Arambagh
2:2
Dec 12, 2025 BFL
Arambagh vs Brothers U.
2:0
Aug 24, 2021 BFL
Arambagh vs Brothers U.
1:0
Mar 1, 2021 BFL
Brothers U. vs Arambagh
5:2
Dec 23, 2020 Federation Cup
Arambagh vs Brothers U.
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arambagh Compare

Top Goalscorer Shawon M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Brothers U. Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arambagh 48 / 100
Brothers U. 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arambagh Brothers U.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arambagh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Brothers U. let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Brothers U.'s recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Arambagh scored in 36% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Arambagh VS Brothers U.
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arambagh

(Home)
19 Sept
Arambagh
1 : 1
Bashundara Kings
23 May
Arambagh
0 : 4
Abahani Limited Dhaka
15 May
Bangladesh Police
2 : 0
Arambagh
09 May
Arambagh
0 : 2
Mohammedan
30 Apr
Brothers U.
2 : 2
Arambagh
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Brothers U.

(Away)
23 Sept
Brothers U.
0 : 0
Rahmatgonj MFS
18 Sept
Brothers U.
0 : 3
City Club
23 May
Mohammedan
5 : 0
Brothers U.
15 May
Fortis
2 : 0
Brothers U.
12 May
Brothers U.
1 : 2
Mohammedan
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