Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 4-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Mohammedan have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Arambagh have conceded 1.75 and scored 0.5. Head-to-head, Arambagh have won 0 to Mohammedan's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (0.56 xG vs 2.13) point toward Mohammedan. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Mohammedan come out ahead of Arambagh on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Mohammedan's way, sitting at 90%.
- Mohammedan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Mohammedan, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Mohammedan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arambagh | Mohammedan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 4 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 18 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mohammedan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Arambagh found the back of the net in 36% of recent matches (28 games).
Arambagh went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Arambagh
(Home)Mohammedan
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abahani Limited Dhaka | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 2 | Fakirerpool YMC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 3 | Fortis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 4 | Chattogram | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 5 | Brothers U. | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 6 | Rahmatgonj MFS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mohammedan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Arambagh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bangladesh Police | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bashundara Kings | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Dhaka Wanderers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | PWD Sports Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | City Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
