Sport Picks

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Arambagh vs Rahmatgonj MFS

Bangladesh Bangladesh

BFL
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arambagh host Rahmatgonj MFS in the BFL. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Arambagh at 0.5 goals for, 1.75 against; Rahmatgonj MFS at 1.29 for, 1.23 against. Past meetings favor Rahmatgonj MFS slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.38) point toward Rahmatgonj MFS. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Arambagh
35%
Draws
46%
Rahmatgonj MFS
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rahmatgonj MFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rahmatgonj MFS come out ahead of Arambagh on wins alone.
  • Rahmatgonj MFS are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Arambagh Clean Sheet 17%
Rahmatgonj MFS Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arambagh Rahmatgonj MFS
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 4 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.5 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 BFL
Arambagh vs Rahmatgonj MFS
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 BFL
Rahmatgonj MFS vs Arambagh
3:0
Aug 27, 2021 BFL
Rahmatgonj MFS vs Arambagh
3:0
Mar 5, 2021 BFL
Arambagh vs Rahmatgonj MFS
1:4
Jul 28, 2020 BFL
Rahmatgonj MFS vs Arambagh
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arambagh 23 / 100
Rahmatgonj MFS 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arambagh Rahmatgonj MFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rahmatgonj MFS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rahmatgonj MFS has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Arambagh scored in 36% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Arambagh remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Arambagh VS Rahmatgonj MFS
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arambagh

(Home)
19 Sept
Arambagh
1 : 1
Bashundara Kings
23 May
Arambagh
0 : 4
Abahani Limited Dhaka
15 May
Bangladesh Police
2 : 0
Arambagh
09 May
Arambagh
0 : 2
Mohammedan
30 Apr
Brothers U.
2 : 2
Arambagh
Page 1 of 6

Rahmatgonj MFS

(Away)
23 Sept
Brothers U.
0 : 0
Rahmatgonj MFS
18 Sept
Bangladesh Police
1 : 0
Rahmatgonj MFS
23 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
0 : 0
Bangladesh Police
15 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
1 : 0
Mohammedan
09 May
Brothers U.
3 : 1
Rahmatgonj MFS
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortis 1 1 0 0 6:0 3
2 City Club 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Fakirerpool YMC 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Bangladesh Police 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Arambagh 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Bashundara Kings 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Abahani Limited Dhaka 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 PWD Sports Club 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 Mohammedan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Dhaka Wanderers 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
11 Rahmatgonj MFS 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
12 Brothers U. 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
13 Chattogram 1 0 0 1 0:6 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Qualification)