Sport Picks
Match Events
19'
19'
Santa Cruz S.
68'
68'
Rengel J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Arandina haven't matched Almazan's recent run of results.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Arandina Clean Sheet 16%
Almazan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arandina | Almazan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Almazan
1:1
Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Arandina
1:3
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Almazan
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Arandina
0:0
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Almazan
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arandina Compare
Top Goalscorer Rengel J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Almazan Compare
Top Goalscorer Santa Cruz S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arandina 31 / 100
Almazan 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arandina Almazan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arandina scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Almazan has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Arandina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Arandina VS Almazan
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Arandina
(Home) 26 Sept
Arandina
1 : 0 Calasanz de Soria
20 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
3 : 4 Arandina
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1 Almazan
05 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0 Arandina
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0 Arandina
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Arandina
1 : 0 Calasanz de Soria
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1 Almazan
02 May
Arandina
2 : 1 Mirandes B
26 Apr
Arandina
3 : 3 Bembibre
11 Apr
Arandina
3 : 1 La Virgen
Page 1 of 3
Almazan
(Away) 27 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
1 : 1 Almazan
19 Sept
Almazan
2 : 2 Villaralbo
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1 Almazan
06 Sept
Almazan
2 : 1 Unionistas de Salamanca B
10 May
Almazan
1 : 1 Santa Marta Tormes
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
1 : 1 Almazan
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1 Almazan
01 May
La Virgen
1 : 2 Almazan
23 Apr
Mansilles
1 : 0 Almazan
19 Apr
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 0 Almazan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burgos CF B | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:0 | 10 |
| 2 | Mansilles | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Leonesa B | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 10 |
| 4 | La Virgen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Santa Marta Tormes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 6 | Arandina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Bembibre | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 8 | Palencia CA | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 7 |
| 9 | Almazan | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Palencia CF | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 11 | Calasanz de Soria | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 12 | Villaralbo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 4 |
| 13 | Guijuelo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 14 | Unionistas de Salamanca B | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 2 |
| 15 | Turegano | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 16 | Mirandes B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 17 | Salamanca CF UDS B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | 1 |
| 18 | Colegios Diocesanos | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:9 | 1 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)
