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Arandina vs Bembibre Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Prieto V.
9' Event
Benlloch S.
20' Event
Ake Mariano A. S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Arandina
30%
Draws
39%
Bembibre
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bembibre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Arandina have won more games recently than Bembibre.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Arandina Clean Sheet 15%
Bembibre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arandina Bembibre
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Bembibre
3:3
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Arandina
1:1
Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Arandina
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Bembibre
2:0
Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs Arandina
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arandina Compare

Top Goalscorer Benlloch S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ake Mariano A. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Bembibre Compare

Top Goalscorer Prieto V.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arandina 31 / 100
Bembibre 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arandina Bembibre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arandina's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Bembibre's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Arandina has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arandina VS Bembibre
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Arandina

(Home)
03 Oct
Turegano
1 : 1
Arandina
26 Sept
Arandina
1 : 0
Calasanz de Soria
20 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
3 : 4
Arandina
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1
Almazan
05 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Arandina
Page 1 of 6

Bembibre

(Away)
04 Oct
Bembibre
2 : 0
La Virgen
27 Sept
Guijuelo
1 : 2
Bembibre
20 Sept
Bembibre
0 : 2
Mansilles
13 Sept
Bembibre
1 : 1
Mirandes B
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2
Bembibre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)