Sport Picks
Arandina vs Racing Lermeno
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013 
AI Match Summary
Arandina in this Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arandina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arandina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Arandina lately — more wins on the board than Racing Lermeno.
- Model gives Arandina a 59% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Arandina have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Arandina Clean Sheet 19%
Racing Lermeno Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arandina | Racing Lermeno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 3 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 19, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Racing Lermeno
1:0
Oct 6, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Racing Lermeno vs Arandina
0:4
Feb 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Racing Lermeno
3:0
Sep 16, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Racing Lermeno vs Arandina
0:3
Apr 3, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Racing Lermeno
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arandina 85 / 100
Racing Lermeno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arandina Racing Lermeno
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arandina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Racing Lermeno conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.
Arandina found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (34 games).
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Arandina stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Arandina VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Arandina
(Home) 26 Sept
Arandina
1 : 0 Calasanz de Soria
20 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
3 : 4 Arandina
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1 Almazan
05 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0 Arandina
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0 Arandina
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Arandina
1 : 0 Calasanz de Soria
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1 Almazan
02 May
Arandina
2 : 1 Mirandes B
26 Apr
Arandina
3 : 3 Bembibre
11 Apr
Arandina
3 : 1 La Virgen
Page 1 of 4
Racing Lermeno
(Away) 11 May
Racing Lermeno
3 : 2 CD Cebrerena
04 May
Unami CP
2 : 0 Racing Lermeno
01 May
Bupolsa
2 : 1 Racing Lermeno
27 Apr
Racing Lermeno
0 : 2 Becerril
23 Apr
Valladolid Promesas
5 : 1 Racing Lermeno
Page 1 of 7
04 May
Unami CP
2 : 0 Racing Lermeno
01 May
Bupolsa
2 : 1 Racing Lermeno
23 Apr
Valladolid Promesas
5 : 1 Racing Lermeno
12 Apr
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 1 Racing Lermeno
29 Mar
La Virgen
1 : 2 Racing Lermeno
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burgos CF | 38 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 80:19 | 90 |
| 2 | Leonesa | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 70:25 | 82 |
| 3 | Arandina | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 66:22 | 82 |
| 4 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 38 | 24 | 3 | 11 | 80:38 | 75 |
| 5 | Valladolid Promesas | 38 | 22 | 7 | 9 | 68:25 | 73 |
| 6 | La Granja | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:36 | 69 |
| 7 | Atletico Astorga | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 60:41 | 68 |
| 8 | Bembibre | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 55:43 | 59 |
| 9 | La Virgen | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 51:51 | 57 |
| 10 | Real Avila | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 47:46 | 55 |
| 11 | Numancia B | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 51:56 | 53 |
| 12 | Palencia CA | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36:47 | 43 |
| 13 | Almazan | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36:55 | 43 |
| 14 | Unami CP | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 39:67 | 38 |
| 15 | UD Salamanca (Inactive) B | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 27:48 | 36 |
| 16 | Racing Lermeno | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 35:64 | 34 |
| 17 | Santa Marta Tormes | 38 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 25:50 | 32 |
| 18 | Palencia CF | 38 | 9 | 5 | 24 | 32:67 | 32 |
| 19 | Villaralbo | 38 | 9 | 5 | 24 | 24:65 | 32 |
| 20 | Cuellar Balompie | 38 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 20:87 | 9 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
