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Aranova vs Trastevere Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aranova host Trastevere Calcio in the Serie D - Group G. Little to choose between these two on current form. Trastevere Calcio have shipped 1.58 goals a game lately, while Aranova have conceded 1.17 and scored 1. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.05 vs 1.31, favoring Trastevere Calcio. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Aranova
35%
Draws
40%
Trastevere Calcio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Trastevere Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Aranova haven't matched Trastevere Calcio's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Aranova's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Aranova Clean Sheet 18%
Trastevere Calcio Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aranova Trastevere Calcio
Matches Played 6 33
Wins 1 16
Draws 3 8
Losses 2 9
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.05 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aranova 40 / 100
Trastevere Calcio 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aranova Trastevere Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aranova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aranova scored in 83% of their last 6 games.

Trastevere Calcio let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Aranova went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Trastevere Calcio has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aranova VS Trastevere Calcio
0.86 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
57% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aranova

(Home)
04 Oct
Certosa V. Campagnano
2 : 1
Aranova
27 Sept
Aranova
1 : 1
Latte Dolce
20 Sept
Monastir
2 : 1
Aranova
16 Sept
Aranova
1 : 0
Albalonga
12 Sept
Budoni Calcio
2 : 2
Aranova
Page 1 of 2

Trastevere Calcio

(Away)
04 Oct
Trastevere Calcio
0 : 0
Citta di Anagni
27 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3
Trastevere Calcio
20 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
1 : 6
Paganese
16 Sept
Ossese
1 : 1
Trastevere Calcio
13 Sept
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 1
Gelbison
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sarnese 6 4 2 0 11:6 14
2 Monastir 6 4 1 1 17:9 13
3 Certosa V. Campagnano 6 4 0 2 10:4 12
4 Unipomezia 6 3 2 1 11:6 11
5 Ossese 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
6 Trastevere Calcio 6 3 2 1 8:10 11
7 Paganese 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
8 Anzio Calcio 1924 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
9 Albalonga 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
10 Gelbison 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
11 Budoni Calcio 6 2 1 3 10:13 7
12 Citta di Anagni 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
13 Aranova 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
14 Afragolese 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
15 Sarrabus Ogliastra 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
16 Latte Dolce 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
17 US Venafro 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
18 Atl. Lodigiani 6 0 1 5 8:17 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)