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Arapongas vs Batel Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 3 2024
Sat, Nov 9, 2024
1 - 2
06:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Diogo Carlos
45' Event
Mateuzinho
1' Event
Raphael Stard
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Batel advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Arapongas
35%
Draws
35%
Batel
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Batel have managed 1.5 goals a game lately — Arapongas are scoring more at 1.73.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Batel, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Arapongas Clean Sheet 20%
Batel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arapongas Batel
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.73 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2024 Paranaense 3
Arapongas vs Batel
1:2
Nov 2, 2024 Paranaense 3
Batel vs Arapongas
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arapongas Compare

Top Goalscorer Diogo Carlos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Batel Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateuzinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arapongas 32 / 100
Batel 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arapongas Batel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Batel let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Arapongas scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Arapongas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Batel
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arapongas

(Home)
09 Nov
Arapongas
1 : 2
Batel
02 Nov
Batel
2 : 2
Arapongas
26 Oct
Arapongas
0 : 2
Iraty
20 Oct
Iraty
0 : 3
Arapongas
13 Oct
Arapongas
0 : 0
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
Page 1 of 6

Batel

(Away)
25 Apr
Batel
0 : 1
Araucaria
18 Apr
Nacional PR
0 : 0
Batel
11 Apr
Laranja Mecanica
0 : 0
Batel
05 Apr
Batel
4 : 1
Toledo
29 Mar
Batel
1 : 1
Parana
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Batel 6
Rolandia EC 0
Iraty 2
Arapongas 3
Hope Internacional 3
Vere FC 1
Oeste Brasil 0
Toledo 3
Semi-finals
Batel 4
Arapongas 3
Hope Internacional 1
Toledo 8
Final
Batel 2
Toledo 1