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Arapongas vs CA Cambe

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Kiko
30' Event
Diogo Carlos
38' Event
Vidal G.

AI Match Summary

Arapongas in this Paranaense 3 2024 matchup, with the score ending 9-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arapongas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Arapongas
30%
Draws
47%
CA Cambe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CA Cambe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • CA Cambe haven't matched Arapongas's recent run of results.
  • Arapongas are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Paranaense 3 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Arapongas Clean Sheet 14%
CA Cambe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arapongas CA Cambe
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.73 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2024 Paranaense 3
Arapongas vs CA Cambe
9:0
Sep 4, 2024 Paranaense 3
CA Cambe vs Arapongas
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arapongas Compare

Top Goalscorer Kiko
4 Goals
Assists Leader Diogo Carlos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

CA Cambe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arapongas 41 / 100
CA Cambe 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arapongas CA Cambe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Arapongas found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

CA Cambe let in goals in 72% of their last 25 matches.

Recent resilience: Arapongas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arapongas VS CA Cambe
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arapongas

(Home)
09 Nov
Arapongas
1 : 2
Batel
02 Nov
Batel
2 : 2
Arapongas
26 Oct
Arapongas
0 : 2
Iraty
20 Oct
Iraty
0 : 3
Arapongas
13 Oct
Arapongas
0 : 0
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
Page 1 of 6

CA Cambe

(Away)
19 Sept
CA Cambe
0 : 4
City London
12 Sept
Oeste Brasil
2 : 3
CA Cambe
06 Sept
CA Cambe
1 : 1
Oeste Brasil
30 Aug
City London
0 : 1
CA Cambe
24 Aug
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
0 : 1
CA Cambe
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Batel 8 5 1 2 14:8 16
2 Hope Internacional 8 3 3 2 7:4 12
3 Iraty 8 3 3 2 7:8 12
4 Araucaria 8 2 2 4 7:9 8
5 Prudentopolis 8 1 3 4 5:11 6
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arapongas 8 6 1 1 24:5 19
2 Rolandia EC 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
3 Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense 8 3 2 3 8:8 11
4 Campo Mourao 8 3 1 4 18:15 10
5 CA Cambe 8 0 1 7 3:31 1
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vere FC 6 4 0 2 11:8 12
2 Toledo 6 4 0 2 9:7 12
3 Oeste Brasil 6 3 0 3 10:5 9
4 Uniao PR 6 1 0 5 1:11 3
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams