Sport Picks

Brazil

Paranaense 3 2024

Iraty

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arapongas play Iraty in the Paranaense 3 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Arapongas averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Iraty averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Arapongas won 1, Iraty won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 26, 2024 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Arapongas and 1.06 for Iraty. This points to a Arapongas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Arapongas

24%

Draws

32%

Iraty

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Arapongas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Arapongas picked up more points recently compared to Iraty.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

Arapongas Clean Sheet 22%

Iraty Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Arapongas	Iraty
Matches Played	30	20
Wins	12	7
Draws	8	4
Losses	10	9
Goals Scored	1.73	1.1
Goals Conceded	1.23	1.7
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 Paranaense 3

Arapongas vs Iraty

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 1 - 4

0:2

Oct 20, 2024 Paranaense 3

Iraty vs Arapongas

Possession: 41% - 60% Cards: 0 - 4

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arapongas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Iraty Compare

Top Goalscorer Igor Bambam

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arapongas 44 / 100

Iraty 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Arapongas Iraty

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Arapongas or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Arapongas attacking → ← attacking Iraty

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arapongas scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Iraty let in goals in 75% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Arapongas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Iraty lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 25

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63