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Ararat-Armenia vs Ararat Yerevan

Armenia Armenia

Premier League 2025/2026 Football Academy Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Serobyan A.
28' Event
Serobyan A.
45'
Balanta J. A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Ararat-Armenia and Ararat Yerevan finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ararat-Armenia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Ararat-Armenia
11%
Draws
9%
Ararat Yerevan
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Ararat-Armenia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ararat-Armenia come out ahead of Ararat Yerevan on wins alone.
  • Ararat-Armenia are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ararat-Armenia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Ararat-Armenia Clean Sheet 68%
Ararat Yerevan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ararat-Armenia Ararat Yerevan
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 18 7
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Premier League
Ararat-Armenia vs Ararat Yerevan
4:0
Nov 21, 2025 Premier League
Ararat Yerevan vs Ararat-Armenia
1:2
Aug 30, 2025 Premier League
Ararat-Armenia vs Ararat Yerevan
4:2
May 28, 2025 Premier League
Ararat-Armenia vs Ararat Yerevan
6:0
Nov 10, 2024 Premier League
Ararat Yerevan vs Ararat-Armenia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ararat-Armenia Compare

Top Goalscorer Serobyan A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Ndour A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Ararat Yerevan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ararat-Armenia 86 / 100
Ararat Yerevan 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ararat-Armenia Ararat Yerevan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ararat Yerevan conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ararat-Armenia scored in 68% of their last 34 outings.

Recent resilience: Ararat-Armenia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ararat-Armenia VS Ararat Yerevan
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ararat-Armenia27186350:2560
2Noah27168361:1956
3Pyunik Yerevan27174637:1855
4Alashkert27165642:2353
5Urartu27147643:2649
6Van27941427:4031
7BKMA274111230:4223
8FC Gandzasar27561620:4121
9Ararat Yerevan27342021:6313
10Shirak Gyumri27271817:5113