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Ararat-Armenia vs FC Gandzasar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

Premier League Football Academy Stadium, Yerevan
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ararat-Armenia host FC Gandzasar in the Premier League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Ararat-Armenia have averaged 1.6 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against FC Gandzasar's 0.86 scored and 1.79 conceded. Head-to-head, Ararat-Armenia have won 5 to FC Gandzasar's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 3:4. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Ararat-Armenia to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ararat-Armenia
15%
Draws
0%
FC Gandzasar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ararat-Armenia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ararat-Armenia lately — more wins on the board than FC Gandzasar.
  • Model gives Ararat-Armenia a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ararat-Armenia here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ararat-Armenia Clean Sheet 20%
FC Gandzasar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ararat-Armenia FC Gandzasar
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 5
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.6 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Premier League
FC Gandzasar vs Ararat-Armenia
3:4
May 27, 2026 Premier League
Ararat-Armenia vs FC Gandzasar
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Premier League
FC Gandzasar vs Ararat-Armenia
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
Ararat-Armenia vs FC Gandzasar
1:0
Apr 25, 2025 Premier League
FC Gandzasar vs Ararat-Armenia
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ararat-Armenia 85 / 100
FC Gandzasar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ararat-Armenia FC Gandzasar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ararat-Armenia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Gandzasar let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: FC Gandzasar has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Ararat-Armenia scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ararat-Armenia VS FC Gandzasar
1.38 Goals Scored 0.29
1 Goals Conceded 2.29
75% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Ararat-Armenia

(Home)
10 Oct
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 1
Alashkert
03 Oct
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 4
Ararat-Armenia
20 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
1 : 3
Ararat-Armenia
16 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 4
Sparta Prague
11 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
3 : 0
Syunik
Page 1 of 6

FC Gandzasar

(Away)
10 Oct
Van
2 : 0
FC Gandzasar
18 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 3
Urartu
12 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 2
Ararat Yerevan
04 Sept
Noah
3 : 2
FC Gandzasar
30 Aug
FC Gandzasar
0 : 3
BKMA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noah 9 9 0 0 26:6 27
2 Pyunik Yerevan 9 6 3 0 23:8 21
3 Ararat-Armenia 9 6 2 1 18:9 20
4 Alashkert 9 4 4 1 19:7 16
5 Urartu 9 3 3 3 14:12 12
6 Sardarapat 9 3 3 3 15:17 12
7 Shirak Gyumri 9 3 1 5 11:12 10
8 Ararat Yerevan 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
9 BKMA 9 2 2 5 8:15 8
10 Van 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
11 Syunik 9 1 2 6 5:17 5
12 FC Gandzasar 9 1 0 8 8:22 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027/2028 (Main)