Sport Picks
Ararat-Armenia vs Sardarapat Prediction & H2H Stats
Armenia
Premier League Football Academy Stadium, Yerevan 
Match Events
7'
7'
Shaghoyan Z.
22'
22'
Petrosyan L.
Assist: Budagyan Y.
46'
46'
Sub
Carlier M. In: Bueno J.
Out: Carlier M.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Ararat-Armenia and Sardarapat finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
20%
24%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ararat-Armenia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ararat-Armenia come out ahead of Sardarapat on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Ararat-Armenia's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ararat-Armenia Clean Sheet 20%
Sardarapat Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ararat-Armenia | Sardarapat |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Premier League
Ararat-Armenia vs Sardarapat
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ararat-Armenia Compare
Top Goalscorer Shaghoyan Z.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Sardarapat Compare
Top Goalscorer Petrosyan L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ararat-Armenia 85 / 100
Sardarapat 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ararat-Armenia Sardarapat
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ararat-Armenia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ararat-Armenia scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Sardarapat has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Ararat-Armenia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ararat-Armenia VS Sardarapat
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ararat-Armenia
(Home) 03 Oct
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 4 Ararat-Armenia
20 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
1 : 3 Ararat-Armenia
16 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 4 Sparta Prague
11 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
3 : 0 Syunik
05 Sept
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 1 Ararat-Armenia
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 4 Sparta Prague
11 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
3 : 0 Syunik
27 Aug
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 0 Univ. Craiova
23 Aug
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 1 Sardarapat
15 Aug
Ararat-Armenia
2 : 0 Van
Page 1 of 4
Sardarapat
(Away) 19 Sept
BKMA
1 : 1 Sardarapat
13 Sept
Sardarapat
1 : 1 Alashkert
09 Sept
Sardarapat
2 : 4 Pyunik Yerevan
06 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
2 : 0 Sardarapat
31 Aug
Sardarapat
3 : 1 Syunik
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
BKMA
1 : 1 Sardarapat
06 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
2 : 0 Sardarapat
23 Aug
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 1 Sardarapat
07 Aug
Ararat Yerevan
1 : 2 Sardarapat
31 Jul
Van
1 : 4 Sardarapat
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noah | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 21:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Ararat-Armenia | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Pyunik Yerevan | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18:8 | 18 |
| 4 | Alashkert | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18:6 | 15 |
| 5 | Sardarapat | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:12 | 12 |
| 6 | Urartu | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Shirak Gyumri | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:10 | 10 |
| 8 | Ararat Yerevan | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6:13 | 9 |
| 9 | BKMA | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 10 | Van | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4:21 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Gandzasar | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8:20 | 3 |
| 12 | Syunik | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3:17 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027/2028 (Main)
