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Stadium Background

Ararat-Armenia vs Univ. Craiova - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan
Our Tip

Match Events

48'
Bancu N.
62'
Sub
Baluta T. In: Teles Samuel
Out: Baluta T.
70'
Sub
Oliveira Dias B. In: Franca Carlos
Out: Oliveira Dias B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ararat-Armenia
15%
Draws
51%
Univ. Craiova
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Univ. Craiova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ararat-Armenia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Univ. Craiova a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Ararat-Armenia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ararat-Armenia, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ararat-Armenia Clean Sheet 23%
Univ. Craiova Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ararat-Armenia Univ. Craiova
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 20 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.81 2
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 Europa League
Ararat-Armenia vs Univ. Craiova
1:0
Aug 20, 2026 Europa League
Univ. Craiova vs Ararat-Armenia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ararat-Armenia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sandro Lima
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Univ. Craiova Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ararat-Armenia 21 / 100
Univ. Craiova 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ararat-Armenia Univ. Craiova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Univ. Craiova Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ararat-Armenia scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Ararat-Armenia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Univ. Craiova's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ararat-Armenia VS Univ. Craiova
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ararat-Armenia

(Home)
10 Oct
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 1
Alashkert
03 Oct
Ararat Yerevan
0 : 4
Ararat-Armenia
20 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
1 : 3
Ararat-Armenia
16 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 4
Sparta Prague
11 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
3 : 0
Syunik
Page 1 of 7

Univ. Craiova

(Away)
04 Oct
CSM Slatina
0 : 4
Univ. Craiova
19 Sept
Univ. Craiova
5 : 0
FCSB
13 Sept
Corvinul Hunedoara
0 : 1
Univ. Craiova
07 Sept
Univ. Craiova
4 : 0
Universitatea Cluj
03 Sept
FC Bacau
1 : 2
Univ. Craiova
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
TBD -
Vojvodina 1
Ferencvaros 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
KuPS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Univ. Craiova -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Omonia -
Crvena zvezda -
TBD -
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Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rangers -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
Mjallby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hajduk Split 3
Zilina 2
TBD -
Pafos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salzburg -
Kairat Almaty -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Universitatea Cluj 0
TBD -
PAOK -
Hammarby -
TBD -
TBD -
Anderlecht -
Lech Poznan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Klaksvik -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
Besiktas -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -
St. Gallen -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Aarhus -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol 1
Aluminij 0
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Qarabag Agdam 6
Vestri 0
CSKA Sofia 5
Derry City 3
Quarter-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente 3
Ferencvaros 4
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
KuPS -
TBD -
TBD -
Univ. Craiova -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
Omonia -
Crvena zvezda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia -
TBD -
TBD -
Rangers -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
Mjallby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hajduk Split 2
Pafos 4
TBD -
Salzburg -
Kairat Almaty -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv 2
PAOK 5
Hammarby 2
Anderlecht 4
Lech Poznan -
TBD -
TBD -
Klaksvik -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Tromso 1
Hradec Kralove 4
Besiktas 3
Midtjylland 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -
St. Gallen 2
Benfica 6
TBD -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aarhus -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv 6
Qarabag Agdam 0
CSKA Sofia 1
Semi-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
Ferencvaros 2
Gornik Zabrze 1
KuPS 2
Univ. Craiova 3
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 1
Omonia 2
Crvena zvezda -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers 4
KF Egnatia 6
TBD -
Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia 3
Rangers 2
Larne 1
Iberia 1999 2
Mjallby -
TBD -
Pafos 3
Salzburg 4
Kairat Almaty -
TBD -
PAOK 2
Anderlecht 4
Lech Poznan 6
Klaksvik 0
Thun 5
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Hradec Kralove 0
Besiktas 2
TBD -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -
Benfica 7
Hearts 2
TBD -
Aarhus -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv 3
CSKA Sofia 4
Final
Trabzonspor 0
Ferencvaros 5
Univ. Craiova 1
Ararat-Armenia 2
St. Truiden 3
Omonia 4
Crvena zvezda 4
Plzen 5
KF Egnatia 1
Lillestrom 2
Jagiellonia 6
Iberia 1999 1
Mjallby 0
Salzburg 4
Kairat Almaty 0
Anderlecht 6
Lech Poznan 9
Thun 2
Besiktas 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
Benfica 6
Aarhus 2
OFI Crete 5
CSKA Sofia 0