Sport Picks

Armenia

First League 2025/2026

Ararat Yerevan 2

3 - 1

Ararat-Armenia 2

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ararat Yerevan 2 in this First League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ararat Yerevan 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Ararat Yerevan 2

Draws

90%

Ararat-Armenia 2

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ararat-Armenia 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Ararat Yerevan 2 have won more games recently than Ararat-Armenia 2.
Ararat-Armenia 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular First League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Ararat Yerevan 2 Clean Sheet 20%

Ararat-Armenia 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ararat Yerevan 2	Ararat-Armenia 2
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	6
Draws	2	6
Losses	16	18
Goals Scored	0.88	1.88
Goals Conceded	2.38	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 First League

Ararat-Armenia 2 vs Ararat Yerevan 2

Possession: 56% - 40% Cards: 2 - 1

3:0

Oct 22, 2025 First League

Ararat Yerevan 2 vs Ararat-Armenia 2

Possession: 50% - 53% Cards: 1 - 4

3:1

Apr 28, 2025 First League

Ararat Yerevan 2 vs Ararat-Armenia 2

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Oct 23, 2024 First League

Ararat-Armenia 2 vs Ararat Yerevan 2

Possession: 43% - 59% Cards: 3 - 4

1:4

Apr 2, 2024 First League

Ararat Yerevan 2 vs Ararat-Armenia 2

Possession: 57% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ararat Yerevan 2 10 / 100

Ararat-Armenia 2 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ararat Yerevan 2 Ararat-Armenia 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ararat-Armenia 2 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Ararat Yerevan 2 scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Ararat-Armenia 2 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ararat Yerevan 2 VS Ararat-Armenia 2

0.88 Goals Scored 1.88

2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88

88% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sardarapat	30	24	4	2	81:18	76
2	BKMA 2	30	22	5	3	77:31	71
3	Hayq	30	22	2	6	59:24	68
4	Syunik	30	22	1	7	83:26	67
5	Andranik	30	21	3	6	76:30	66
6	Pyunik Yerevan 2	30	12	8	10	43:43	44
7	Ararat Yerevan 2	30	12	2	16	43:58	38
8	Araks Ararat	30	11	4	15	38:51	37
9	Urartu 2	30	9	9	12	46:54	36
10	Noah 2	30	8	7	15	39:58	31
11	Bentonit	30	7	8	15	33:49	29
12	Mika	30	7	7	16	32:60	28
13	Ararat-Armenia 2	30	6	6	18	46:62	24
14	Van 2	30	6	6	18	33:58	24
15	Lernayin Artsakh	30	7	2	21	22:74	23
16	Shirak Gyumri 2	30	4	6	20	34:89	18